BKSY

BlackSky Technology Inc.

57
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

BKSY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over BKSY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

BKSY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

BKSY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BKSY PE Valuation

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BKSY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BKSY has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BKSY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$43.03
Downside-45%$12.67

Calculated from the latest close: $23.24 on Nov 12.

BKSY trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKSY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKSY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
Q4 2023: $-3.20Q1 2024: $-2.96Q2 2024: $-1.52Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-3.86Q1 2025: $-3.40Q2 2025: $-4.19Q3 2025: $-3.97Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.55Q2 2026: $-1.82Q3 2026: $-1.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.28+$2.69
Q2 2026-$1.82+$2.37
Q1 2026-$2.55+$0.85
Q4 2025-$2.15+$1.71
Q3 2025-$3.97-$1.79
Q2 2025-$4.19-$2.67
Q1 2025-$3.40-$0.44
Q4 2024-$3.86-$0.66

BKSY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.28 per share over the past year, against $7.86 at its worst in mid-2022.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BKSY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKSY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $35MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.8M+118%
Q2 2026$33.3M+50%
Q1 2026$20.8M-30%
Q4 2025$35.2M+16%
Q3 2025$19.6M-13%
Q2 2025$22.2M-11%
Q1 2025$29.5M+22%
Q4 2024$30.4M-14%

BKSY's revenue is growing: $43M last quarter, up 118% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BKSY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKSY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$43MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: $67,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67K+$42.9M
Q2 2026-$6.9M+$4M
Q1 2026-$6.2M-127%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-$8.4M
Q3 2025-$42.8M-$38.1M
Q2 2025-$10.9M-$5.8M
Q1 2025$22.8M+$29.9M
Q4 2024-$5.2M-$605K

BKSY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$27M over the past year, against −$36M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over BKSY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BKSY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+4.9M shares
1 year+23%+8.1M shares
3 years+152%+26.1M shares

BKSY has 43M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over BKSY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKSY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
Q2 2024: 253.9xQ3 2024: 29.7xQ3 2026: 71.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202671.3xHigh
Q3 202429.7xHigh
Q2 2024253.9xHigh

BKSY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over BKSY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKSY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic28.8Neutral

BKSY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BKSY PE vs Technology Sector

BKSY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BKSY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.414% above
20 week MA$22.91.6% above
50 week MA$26.111% below
100 week MA$20.712% above
200 week MA$15.649% above

BKSY's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 49% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

BKSY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2019$78.4$78.0-0.5%
2020$78.0$85.2+9.2%
2021$85.2$42.4-50%
2022$42.4$12.4-71%
2023$12.4$11.2-9.7%
2024$11.2$11.3+0.5%
2025$11.3$19.3+71%
2026 YTD$19.3$23.2+20%

BKSY has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key