BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc.

73
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BKNG has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BKNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

BKNG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BKNG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$161—
Current17x$161—
Cheap23x$212+32%
Fair32x$294+82%
Expensive128x$1,188+637%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKNG has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BKNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$222.76
Downside-11%$143.00

Calculated from the latest close: $161.20 on Nov 12.

BKNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BKNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BKNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.78+27%
Q3 2026$9.25+51%
Q2 2026$9.01+57%
Q1 2026$7.58+18%
Q4 2025$6.62-4.2%
Q3 2025$6.14+4.6%
Q2 2025$5.74+0.9%
Q1 2025$6.42+21%
Q4 2024$6.91+47%

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

BKNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.9B-1.3%
Q2 2026$7.4B+8.1%
Q1 2026$5.5B+16%
Q4 2025$6.3B+16%
Q3 2025$9B+13%
Q2 2025$6.8B+16%
Q1 2025$4.8B+7.9%
Q4 2024$5.5B+14%

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BKNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-22%
Q2 2026$3.6B+16%
Q1 2026$3.1B-1.7%
Q4 2025$1.4B+120%
Q3 2025$1.4B-40%
Q2 2025$3.1B+32%
Q1 2025$3.2B+23%
Q4 2024$645M-48%

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BKNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-17M shares
1 year-7.5%-61M shares
3 years-16%-147M shares
5 years-27%-281M shares
Available history-31%-335M shares

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BKNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

BKNG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BKNG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

BKNG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BKNG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKNGSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.3% below
PE %44743 pts below

BKNG has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BKNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.11.3% above
20 week MA$178.29.5% below
50 week MA$180.811% below
100 week MA$193.217% below
200 week MA$164.31.9% below

BKNG has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 1.9% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BKNG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BKNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.9$83.5+0.8%
2021$83.5$96.1+15%
2022$96.1$78.9-18%
2023$78.9$141.9+80%
2024$141.9$201.5+42%
2025$201.5$217.6+8%
2026 YTD$217.6$161.2-26%

BKNG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over BKNG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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