BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc.

73
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BKNG has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BKNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

BKNG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BKNG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$161—
Current17x$161—
Cheap23x$212+32%
Fair32x$294+82%
Expensive128x$1,188+637%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKNG's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BKNG, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$222.76
Downside-11%$143.00

Calculated from the latest close: $161.20 on Nov 12.

BKNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails BKNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.78+27%
Q3 2026$9.25+51%
Q2 2026$9.01+57%
Q1 2026$7.58+18%
Q4 2025$6.62-4.2%
Q3 2025$6.14+4.6%
Q2 2025$5.74+0.9%
Q1 2025$6.42+21%
Q4 2024$6.91+47%

BKNG has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

BKNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.9B-1.3%
Q2 2026$7.4B+8.1%
Q1 2026$5.5B+16%
Q4 2025$6.3B+16%
Q3 2025$9B+13%
Q2 2025$6.8B+16%
Q1 2025$4.8B+7.9%
Q4 2024$5.5B+14%

BKNG's revenue is growing: $8.9B last quarter, down 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over BKNG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-22%
Q2 2026$3.6B+16%
Q1 2026$3.1B-1.7%
Q4 2025$1.4B+120%
Q3 2025$1.4B-40%
Q2 2025$3.1B+32%
Q1 2025$3.2B+23%
Q4 2024$645M-48%

BKNG has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

BKNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-17M shares
1 year-7.5%-61M shares
3 years-16%-147M shares
5 years-27%-281M shares
Available history-31%-335M shares

BKNG has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

BKNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

BKNG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BKNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

BKNG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BKNG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKNGSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.3% below
PE %44743 pts below

BKNG is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.11.3% above
20 week MA$178.29.5% below
50 week MA$180.811% below
100 week MA$193.217% below
200 week MA$164.31.9% below

BKNG has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

BKNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.9$83.5+0.8%
2021$83.5$96.1+15%
2022$96.1$78.9-18%
2023$78.9$141.9+80%
2024$141.9$201.5+42%
2025$201.5$217.6+8%
2026 YTD$217.6$161.2-26%

BKNG has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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