BKNG

Booking Holdings Inc.

73
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation84/ 100
Upside potential77/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BKNG has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BKNG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

BKNG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BKNG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE447x894x1342x1789x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$161—
Current17x$161—
Cheap23x$212+32%
Fair32x$294+82%
Expensive128x$1,188+637%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKNG's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKNG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

BKNG has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKNG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$222.76
Downside-11%$143.00

Calculated from the latest close: $161.20 on Nov 12.

BKNG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BKNG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BKNG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
Q4 2023: $4.70Q1 2024: $5.31Q2 2024: $5.69Q3 2024: $5.87Q4 2024: $6.91Q1 2025: $6.42Q2 2025: $5.74Q3 2025: $6.14Q4 2025: $6.62Q1 2026: $7.58Q2 2026: $9.01Q3 2026: $9.25Forward: $11.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.78+27%
Q3 2026$9.25+51%
Q2 2026$9.01+57%
Q1 2026$7.58+18%
Q4 2025$6.62-4.2%
Q3 2025$6.14+4.6%
Q2 2025$5.74+0.9%
Q1 2025$6.42+21%
Q4 2024$6.91+47%

BKNG has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BKNG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
Q4 2023: $4.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $8BQ4 2024: $5.5BQ1 2025: $4.8BQ2 2025: $6.8BQ3 2025: $9BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $7.4BQ3 2026: $8.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.9B-1.3%
Q2 2026$7.4B+8.1%
Q1 2026$5.5B+16%
Q4 2025$6.3B+16%
Q3 2025$9B+13%
Q2 2025$6.8B+16%
Q1 2025$4.8B+7.9%
Q4 2024$5.5B+14%

BKNG has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BKNG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $645MQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B-22%
Q2 2026$3.6B+16%
Q1 2026$3.1B-1.7%
Q4 2025$1.4B+120%
Q3 2025$1.4B-40%
Q2 2025$3.1B+32%
Q1 2025$3.2B+23%
Q4 2024$645M-48%

BKNG generated $9.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BKNG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKNG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
Q4 2023: 913MQ1 2024: 868MQ2 2024: 857MQ3 2024: 847MQ4 2024: 852MQ1 2025: 827MQ2 2025: 815MQ3 2025: 814MQ4 2025: 816MQ1 2026: 794MQ2 2026: 770MQ3 2026: 753M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-17M shares
1 year-7.5%-61M shares
3 years-16%-147M shares
5 years-27%-281M shares
Available history-31%-335M shares

BKNG has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BKNG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.1xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.1xVery low

BKNG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BKNG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKNG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

BKNG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BKNG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKNGSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.3% below
PE %44743 pts below

BKNG is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKNG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.11.3% above
20 week MA$178.29.5% below
50 week MA$180.811% below
100 week MA$193.217% below
200 week MA$164.31.9% below

BKNG has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BKNG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$82.9$83.5+0.8%
2021$83.5$96.1+15%
2022$96.1$78.9-18%
2023$78.9$141.9+80%
2024$141.9$201.5+42%
2025$201.5$217.6+8%
2026 YTD$217.6$161.2-26%

BKNG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BKNG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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