BKKT

Bakkt Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score BKKT yet.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

BKKT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

BKKT's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BKKT PE Valuation

BKKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BKKT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

BKKT has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BKKT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $3.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BKKT and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BKKT and MSFT's risk to reward.

BKKT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-21.00Q1 2024: $-18.61Q2 2024: $-16.53Q3 2024: $-12.23Q4 2024: $-7.97Q1 2025: $-4.98Q2 2025: $-4.47Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-8.87Q1 2026: $-10.41Q2 2026: $-6.31Q3 2026: $-4.85Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $-21.00Q1 2024: $-18.61Q2 2024: $-16.53Q3 2024: $-12.23Q4 2024: $-7.97Q1 2025: $-4.98Q2 2025: $-4.47Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $-8.87Q1 2026: $-10.41Q2 2026: $-6.31Q3 2026: $-4.85Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q3 2026-$4.85+$0.32
Q2 2026-$6.31-$1.84
Q1 2026-$10.41-$5.43
Q4 2025-$8.87-$0.90
Q3 2025-$5.17+$7.06
Q2 2025-$4.47+$12.06
Q1 2025-$4.98+$13.63
Q4 2024-$7.97+$13.03

BKKT is still losing money, but far less than before: $4.85 per share over the past year, against $207.25 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BKKT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKKT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $855MQ2 2024: $510MQ3 2024: $328MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $578MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $855MQ2 2024: $510MQ3 2024: $328MQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $578MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2025$577.9M+13%
Q1 2025$1.1B+26%
Q4 2024$1.8B+738%
Q3 2024$328.4M+60%
Q2 2024$509.9M+47%
Q1 2024$854.6M+6481%
Q4 2023$214.5M+1275%
Q3 2023$204.8M+1492%

MSFT has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 13% for BKKT versus up 19% for MSFT.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BKKT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$66MQ3 2024: −$26MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$101MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$47MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$18M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: −$66MQ3 2024: −$26MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: −$101MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$47MQ4 2025: −$11MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$15MQ3 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$17.9M+$28.7M
Q2 2026-$14.8M-378%
Q1 2026-$12.1M+$89.3M
Q4 2025-$10.8M-135%
Q3 2025-$46.7M-$21M
Q2 2025$5.3M+$71.7M
Q1 2025-$101.4M-377%
Q4 2024$31.1M+$39.4M

BKKT has burned cash in most quarters: −$56M over the past year, against −$112M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over BKKT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BKKT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+10%+4.3M shares
1 year+573%+39.1M shares
3 years+1179%+42.4M shares

BKKT has 46M diluted shares, up 573% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over BKKT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKKT Net Leverage

BKKT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BKKT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.3Neutral
Stochastic4.4Oversold

BKKT's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BKKT PE vs Technology Sector

BKKT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BKKT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8037% below
20 week MA$7.0848% below
50 week MA$9.2060% below
100 week MA$13.072% below
200 week MA$20.082% below

BKKT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BKKT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BKKT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$240.0$255.3+6.4%
2021$255.3$250.0-2.1%
2022$250.0$33.0-87%
2023$33.0$55.8+69%
2024$55.8$27.5-51%
2025$27.5$10.5-62%
2026 YTD$10.5$3.67-65%

BKKT has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over BKKT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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