BKH

Black Hills Corporation

50
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BKH has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BKH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

BKH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BKH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.7x13x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.7x13x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$61.07-30%
Fair17x$71.87-18%
Expensive19x$78.89-9.9%
Forward19x$87.53โ€”
Current21x$87.53โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKH's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BKH, but weaker profitability.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

BKH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$98.22
Downside-13%$75.78

Calculated from the latest close: $87.53 on Nov 12.

BKH trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.91Q1 2024: $4.05Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $3.71Q4 2024: $3.91Q1 2025: $3.91Q2 2025: $3.96Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.98Q1 2026: $3.84Q2 2026: $3.96Q3 2026: $4.16Forward: $4.66
Q4 2023: $3.91Q1 2024: $4.05Q2 2024: $4.03Q3 2024: $3.71Q4 2024: $3.91Q1 2025: $3.91Q2 2025: $3.96Q3 2025: $3.95Q4 2025: $3.98Q1 2026: $3.84Q2 2026: $3.96Q3 2026: $4.16Forward: $4.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.66+12%
Q3 2026$4.16+5.3%
Q2 2026$3.960%
Q1 2026$3.84-1.8%
Q4 2025$3.98+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.95+6.5%
Q2 2025$3.96-1.7%
Q1 2025$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2024$3.910%

BKH has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

BKH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $592MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $403MQ3 2024: $402MQ4 2024: $597MQ1 2025: $805MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $781MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $466M
Q4 2023: $592MQ1 2024: $726MQ2 2024: $403MQ3 2024: $402MQ4 2024: $597MQ1 2025: $805MQ2 2025: $439MQ3 2025: $430MQ4 2025: $636MQ1 2026: $781MQ2 2026: $453MQ3 2026: $466M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$466.1M+8.3%
Q2 2026$452.8M+3.1%
Q1 2026$780.7M-3%
Q4 2025$635.5M+6.4%
Q3 2025$430.2M+7.1%
Q2 2025$439M+9%
Q1 2025$805.2M+11%
Q4 2024$597.1M+0.9%

BKH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $466M last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

BKH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: โˆ’$86MQ4 2024: โˆ’$61MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: โˆ’$30MQ3 2025: โˆ’$90MQ4 2025: โˆ’$102MQ1 2026: โˆ’$91MQ2 2026: โˆ’$23MQ3 2026: โˆ’$99M
Q4 2023: $55MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: โˆ’$86MQ4 2024: โˆ’$61MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: โˆ’$30MQ3 2025: โˆ’$90MQ4 2025: โˆ’$102MQ1 2026: โˆ’$91MQ2 2026: โˆ’$23MQ3 2026: โˆ’$99M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$99.2M-$9.7M
Q2 2026-$23M+$7.3M
Q1 2026-$91.2M-222%
Q4 2025-$101.5M-$41M
Q3 2025-$89.5M-$3.5M
Q2 2025-$30.3M-147%
Q1 2025$74.9M+31%
Q4 2024-$60.5M-211%

BKH has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 131% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

BKH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 69MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 70MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 72MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+300K shares
1 year+4.8%+3.5M shares
3 years+13%+9M shares
5 years+20%+13M shares
Available history+26%+15.6M shares

BKH has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

BKH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 5.2xQ3 2026: 5.1x
Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 5.6xQ3 2024: 5.7xQ4 2024: 5.7xQ1 2025: 5.5xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 5.6xQ2 2026: 5.2xQ3 2026: 5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.1xHigh
Q2 20265.2xHigh
Q1 20265.6xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20255.5xHigh
Q4 20245.7xHigh

BKH's net debt is about 5.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.4 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BKH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.3Overbought
Stochastic95.4Overbought

BKH's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 95 (overbought).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

BKH PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricBKHSector medianRelative
PE21x20x3.1% above
PE %964452 pts above

BKH is trading at 21x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.512% above
20 week MA$75.316% above
50 week MA$73.619% above
100 week MA$66.931% above
200 week MA$62.341% above

BKH has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

BKH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.0$60.0-23%
2021$60.0$68.7+15%
2022$68.7$69.8+1.7%
2023$69.8$54.0-23%
2024$54.0$58.6+8.5%
2025$58.6$69.3+18%
2026 YTD$69.3$87.5+26%

BKH has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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