BKE

The Buckle, Inc.

53
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over BKE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BKE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$30.61-30%
Fair9.8x$42.53-3.2%
Current10x$43.94—
Forward11x$43.94—
Expensive13x$56.38+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKE's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over BKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BKE's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$53.75
Downside-17%$36.59

Calculated from the latest close: $43.94 on Nov 12.

BKE trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.10-5.4%
Q3 2026$4.34+8.2%
Q2 2026$4.36+12%
Q1 2026$4.14+6.4%
Q4 2025$4.09+4.1%
Q3 2025$4.01-2%
Q2 2025$3.90-7.8%
Q1 2025$3.89-12%
Q4 2024$3.93-14%

BKE has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

BKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.8M+4.6%
Q2 2026$288.7M+6.1%
Q1 2026$399.1M+5.3%
Q4 2025$320.8M+9.3%
Q3 2025$305.7M+8.3%
Q2 2025$272.1M+3.7%
Q1 2025$379.2M-0.8%
Q4 2024$293.6M-3.2%

BKE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.9M-64%
Q2 2026$34.7M+77%
Q1 2026$101.4M-8.6%
Q4 2025$38.4M+14%
Q3 2025$46.4M+28%
Q2 2025$19.6M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111M+11%
Q4 2024$33.6M-37%

BKE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

BKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+0.8%+380K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.1M shares
5 years+3.4%+1.7M shares
Available history+4.5%+2.2M shares

BKE has 51M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over BKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

BKE has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic53.3Neutral

BKE's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKESector medianRelative
PE10x18x44% below
PE %55478 pts above

BKE has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.30.9% below
20 week MA$43.51.1% above
50 week MA$48.28.9% below
100 week MA$48.08.4% below
200 week MA$43.41.3% above

BKE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

BKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$30.1+13%
2021$30.1$40.9+36%
2022$40.9$45.2+11%
2023$45.2$47.5+5.1%
2024$47.5$51.5+8.4%
2025$51.5$54.3+5.4%
2026 YTD$54.3$43.9-19%

BKE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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