BKE

The Buckle, Inc.

53
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over BKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

BKE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.1x$30.61-30%
Fair9.8x$42.53-3.2%
Current10x$43.94—
Forward11x$43.94—
Expensive13x$56.38+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BKE's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect BKE's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over BKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

BKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$53.75
Downside-17%$36.59

Calculated from the latest close: $43.94 on Nov 12.

BKE trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
Q4 2023: $4.58Q1 2024: $4.40Q2 2024: $4.23Q3 2024: $4.09Q4 2024: $3.93Q1 2025: $3.89Q2 2025: $3.90Q3 2025: $4.01Q4 2025: $4.09Q1 2026: $4.14Q2 2026: $4.36Q3 2026: $4.34Forward: $4.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.10-5.4%
Q3 2026$4.34+8.2%
Q2 2026$4.36+12%
Q1 2026$4.14+6.4%
Q4 2025$4.09+4.1%
Q3 2025$4.01-2%
Q2 2025$3.90-7.8%
Q1 2025$3.89-12%
Q4 2024$3.93-14%

BKE has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

BKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
Q4 2023: $303MQ1 2024: $382MQ2 2024: $262MQ3 2024: $282MQ4 2024: $294MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $272MQ3 2025: $306MQ4 2025: $321MQ1 2026: $399MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.8M+4.6%
Q2 2026$288.7M+6.1%
Q1 2026$399.1M+5.3%
Q4 2025$320.8M+9.3%
Q3 2025$305.7M+8.3%
Q2 2025$272.1M+3.7%
Q1 2025$379.2M-0.8%
Q4 2024$293.6M-3.2%

BKE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $320M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over BKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: $100MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $36MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $46MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $35MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.9M-64%
Q2 2026$34.7M+77%
Q1 2026$101.4M-8.6%
Q4 2025$38.4M+14%
Q3 2025$46.4M+28%
Q2 2025$19.6M+2.7%
Q1 2025$111M+11%
Q4 2024$33.6M-37%

BKE has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

BKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 50MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 50MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 51MQ4 2025: 51MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+11K shares
1 year+0.8%+380K shares
3 years+2.3%+1.1M shares
5 years+3.4%+1.7M shares
Available history+4.5%+2.2M shares

BKE has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

BKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

BKE has more cash than debt.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic53.3Neutral

BKE's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBKESector medianRelative
PE10x18x44% below
PE %55478 pts above

BKE is trading at 10x earnings, a 44% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.30.9% below
20 week MA$43.51.1% above
50 week MA$48.28.9% below
100 week MA$48.08.4% below
200 week MA$43.41.3% above

BKE has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

BKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$30.1+13%
2021$30.1$40.9+36%
2022$40.9$45.2+11%
2023$45.2$47.5+5.1%
2024$47.5$51.5+8.4%
2025$51.5$54.3+5.4%
2026 YTD$54.3$43.9-19%

BKE has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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