BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

50
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

BKD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over BKD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BKD's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

BKD PE Valuation

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 460x next year's earnings.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BKD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$11.91
Downside-25%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.96 on Nov 12.

BKD trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.17+$1.14
Q2 2026-$0.59+$0.46
Q1 2026-$0.87+$0.17
Q4 2025-$1.12-$0.23
Q3 2025-$1.31-$0.39
Q2 2025-$1.05-$0.13
Q1 2025-$1.04-$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.05

BKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $2.15 at its worst in early 2021.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over BKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$712.1M-12%
Q2 2026$718.6M-12%
Q1 2026$764.9M-6%
Q4 2025$754.1M-3.4%
Q3 2025$813.2M+3.7%
Q2 2025$812.9M+4.6%
Q1 2025$813.9M+4%
Q4 2024$780.9M+3.5%

BKD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $712M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over BKD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.7M-26%
Q2 2026$43.5M+49%
Q1 2026-$25.6M-$7.2M
Q4 2025-$29.1M-$24M
Q3 2025$34.9M+204%
Q2 2025$29.1M+610%
Q1 2025-$18.4M+$27.1M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$24.1M

BKD has burned cash in most quarters: $15M over the past year, down 64% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

BKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-4.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+1.7M shares
3 years+6.1%+13.7M shares
5 years+22%+42.9M shares
Available history+29%+53.2M shares

BKD has 239M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over BKD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20269.1xHigh
Q1 202610.6xHigh
Q4 202510.7xHigh
Q3 202510.9xHigh
Q2 20259.5xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.2xHigh

BKD's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over BKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic6.9Oversold

BKD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

BKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.111% below
20 week MA$12.126% below
50 week MA$12.830% below
100 week MA$9.919.6% below
200 week MA$7.5419% above

BKD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over BKD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.01$4.21-40%
2021$4.21$5.17+23%
2022$5.17$2.71-48%
2023$2.71$5.82+115%
2024$5.82$5.07-13%
2025$5.07$10.9+115%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.96-18%

BKD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2025 to −48% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over BKD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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