BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

50
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

BKD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over BKD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BKD's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BKD PE Valuation

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 460x next year's earnings.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BKD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over BKD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$11.91
Downside-25%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.96 on Nov 12.

BKD trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.17+$1.14
Q2 2026-$0.59+$0.46
Q1 2026-$0.87+$0.17
Q4 2025-$1.12-$0.23
Q3 2025-$1.31-$0.39
Q2 2025-$1.05-$0.13
Q1 2025-$1.04-$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.05

BKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $2.15 at its worst in early 2021.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over BKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$712.1M-12%
Q2 2026$718.6M-12%
Q1 2026$764.9M-6%
Q4 2025$754.1M-3.4%
Q3 2025$813.2M+3.7%
Q2 2025$812.9M+4.6%
Q1 2025$813.9M+4%
Q4 2024$780.9M+3.5%

BKD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $712M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over BKD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.7M-26%
Q2 2026$43.5M+49%
Q1 2026-$25.6M-$7.2M
Q4 2025-$29.1M-$24M
Q3 2025$34.9M+204%
Q2 2025$29.1M+610%
Q1 2025-$18.4M+$27.1M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$24.1M

BKD has burned cash in most quarters: $15M over the past year, down 64% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over BKD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-4.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+1.7M shares
3 years+6.1%+13.7M shares
5 years+22%+42.9M shares
Available history+29%+53.2M shares

BKD has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

BKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20269.1xHigh
Q1 202610.6xHigh
Q4 202510.7xHigh
Q3 202510.9xHigh
Q2 20259.5xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.2xHigh

BKD's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over BKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic6.9Oversold

BKD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

BKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

BKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.111% below
20 week MA$12.126% below
50 week MA$12.830% below
100 week MA$9.919.6% below
200 week MA$7.5419% above

BKD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over BKD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.01$4.21-40%
2021$4.21$5.17+23%
2022$5.17$2.71-48%
2023$2.71$5.82+115%
2024$5.82$5.07-13%
2025$5.07$10.9+115%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.96-18%

BKD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2025 to −48% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over BKD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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