BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

50
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

BKD has a slight edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BKD's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BKD PE Valuation

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 460x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BKD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$11.91
Downside-25%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.96 on Nov 12.

BKD trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.17+$1.14
Q2 2026-$0.59+$0.46
Q1 2026-$0.87+$0.17
Q4 2025-$1.12-$0.23
Q3 2025-$1.31-$0.39
Q2 2025-$1.05-$0.13
Q1 2025-$1.04-$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.05

BKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $2.15 at its worst in early 2021.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over BKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$712.1M-12%
Q2 2026$718.6M-12%
Q1 2026$764.9M-6%
Q4 2025$754.1M-3.4%
Q3 2025$813.2M+3.7%
Q2 2025$812.9M+4.6%
Q1 2025$813.9M+4%
Q4 2024$780.9M+3.5%

BKD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $712M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over BKD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.7M-26%
Q2 2026$43.5M+49%
Q1 2026-$25.6M-$7.2M
Q4 2025-$29.1M-$24M
Q3 2025$34.9M+204%
Q2 2025$29.1M+610%
Q1 2025-$18.4M+$27.1M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$24.1M

BKD has burned cash in most quarters: $15M over the past year, down 64% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

BKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-4.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+1.7M shares
3 years+6.1%+13.7M shares
5 years+22%+42.9M shares
Available history+29%+53.2M shares

BKD has 239M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over BKD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20269.1xHigh
Q1 202610.6xHigh
Q4 202510.7xHigh
Q3 202510.9xHigh
Q2 20259.5xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.2xHigh

BKD's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over BKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic6.9Oversold

BKD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

BKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.111% below
20 week MA$12.126% below
50 week MA$12.830% below
100 week MA$9.919.6% below
200 week MA$7.5419% above

BKD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

BKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.01$4.21-40%
2021$4.21$5.17+23%
2022$5.17$2.71-48%
2023$2.71$5.82+115%
2024$5.82$5.07-13%
2025$5.07$10.9+115%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.96-18%

BKD has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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