BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc.

50
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

BKD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over BKD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BKD's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BKD PE Valuation

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 460x next year's earnings.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BKD to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over BKD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$11.91
Downside-25%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.96 on Nov 12.

BKD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BKD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.77Q2 2024: $-0.92Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-0.89Q1 2025: $-1.04Q2 2025: $-1.05Q3 2025: $-1.31Q4 2025: $-1.12Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.17Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.17+$1.14
Q2 2026-$0.59+$0.46
Q1 2026-$0.87+$0.17
Q4 2025-$1.12-$0.23
Q3 2025-$1.31-$0.39
Q2 2025-$1.05-$0.13
Q1 2025-$1.04-$0.27
Q4 2024-$0.89-$0.05

BKD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.17 per share over the past year, against $2.15 at its worst in early 2021.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
Q4 2023: $754MQ1 2024: $783MQ2 2024: $778MQ3 2024: $784MQ4 2024: $781MQ1 2025: $814MQ2 2025: $813MQ3 2025: $813MQ4 2025: $754MQ1 2026: $765MQ2 2026: $719MQ3 2026: $712M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$712.1M-12%
Q2 2026$718.6M-12%
Q1 2026$764.9M-6%
Q4 2025$754.1M-3.4%
Q3 2025$813.2M+3.7%
Q2 2025$812.9M+4.6%
Q1 2025$813.9M+4%
Q4 2024$780.9M+3.5%

BKD's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $712M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over BKD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$46MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: −$26MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.7M-26%
Q2 2026$43.5M+49%
Q1 2026-$25.6M-$7.2M
Q4 2025-$29.1M-$24M
Q3 2025$34.9M+204%
Q2 2025$29.1M+610%
Q1 2025-$18.4M+$27.1M
Q4 2024-$5.1M+$24.1M

BKD has burned cash in most quarters: $15M over the past year, down 64% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BKD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
Q4 2023: 225MQ1 2024: 226MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 228MQ4 2024: 228MQ1 2025: 231MQ2 2025: 235MQ3 2025: 237MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 238MQ2 2026: 244MQ3 2026: 239M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-4.7M shares
1 year+0.7%+1.7M shares
3 years+6.1%+13.7M shares
5 years+22%+42.9M shares
Available history+29%+53.2M shares

BKD has 239M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over BKD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
Q4 2023: 9.4xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.1xQ4 2024: 9.2xQ1 2025: 9.6xQ2 2025: 9.5xQ3 2025: 10.9xQ4 2025: 10.7xQ1 2026: 10.6xQ2 2026: 9.1xQ3 2026: 8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20268.0xHigh
Q2 20269.1xHigh
Q1 202610.6xHigh
Q4 202510.7xHigh
Q3 202510.9xHigh
Q2 20259.5xHigh
Q1 20259.6xHigh
Q4 20249.2xHigh

BKD's net debt is about 8.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over BKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic6.9Oversold

BKD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.111% below
20 week MA$12.126% below
50 week MA$12.830% below
100 week MA$9.919.6% below
200 week MA$7.5419% above

BKD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over BKD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.01$4.21-40%
2021$4.21$5.17+23%
2022$5.17$2.71-48%
2023$2.71$5.82+115%
2024$5.82$5.07-13%
2025$5.07$10.9+115%
2026 YTD$10.9$8.96-18%

BKD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +115% in 2025 to −48% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over BKD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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