BJ

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.

58
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

BJ's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 24x earnings, above its usual 20x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BJ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

BJ's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BJ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$78.63-29%
Fair20x$92.32-17%
Forward22x$111—
Expensive23x$103-7.3%
Current24x$111—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BJ's PE is in its expensive range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings.

BJ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BJ, with profitability holding steady.

BJ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$128.20
Downside-17%$92.57

Calculated from the latest close: $110.88 on Nov 12.

BJ's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +16% against −17%.

BJ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.88Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.97Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.30Q3 2025: $4.36Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.38Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $4.96
Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.88Q2 2024: $3.86Q3 2024: $3.97Q4 2024: $4.17Q1 2025: $4.00Q2 2025: $4.30Q3 2025: $4.36Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.38Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $4.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.96+8.6%
Q3 2026$4.57+4.8%
Q2 2026$4.35+1.2%
Q1 2026$4.38+9.5%
Q4 2025$4.34+4.1%
Q3 2025$4.36+9.8%
Q2 2025$4.30+11%
Q1 2025$4.00+3.1%
Q4 2024$4.17+11%

BJ's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.57 over the past year, up 4.8% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

BJ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.6BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $6.2B
Q4 2023: $4.9BQ1 2024: $5.4BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.4BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.6BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $6.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.2B+16%
Q2 2026$5.7B+9.9%
Q1 2026$5.6B+5.6%
Q4 2025$5.3B+4.9%
Q3 2025$5.4B+3.4%
Q2 2025$5.2B+4.8%
Q1 2025$5.3B-1.5%
Q4 2024$5.1B+3.5%

BJ's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $6.2B last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

BJ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $87MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $190MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $224M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $87MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $111MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $190MQ2 2026: −$42MQ3 2026: $224M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$224.1M+166%
Q2 2026-$42M-162%
Q1 2026$189.9M+70%
Q4 2025-$13.7M-173%
Q3 2025$84.3M-3.6%
Q2 2025$67.6M-29%
Q1 2025$111.5M-28%
Q4 2024$18.8M-54%

BJ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $358M over the past year.

BJ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 135MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 134MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 128M
Q4 2023: 135MQ1 2024: 135MQ2 2024: 134MQ3 2024: 134MQ4 2024: 133MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 132MQ2 2026: 129MQ3 2026: 128M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.6M shares
1 year-3.6%-4.8M shares
3 years-5.5%-7.4M shares
5 years-7.6%-10.5M shares
Available history-7.6%-10.5M shares

BJ has 128M diluted shares, down 3.6% from a year ago, with $553M in buybacks over the past year.

BJ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

BJ's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

BJ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.4Neutral
Stochastic90.4Overbought

BJ's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

BJ PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricBJSector medianRelative
PE24x19x24% above
PE %931875 pts above

BJ is trading at 24x earnings, a 24% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

BJ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$103.07.7% above
20 week MA$96.914% above
50 week MA$95.117% above
100 week MA$99.112% above
200 week MA$87.127% above

BJ is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

BJ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$38.2+68%
2021$38.2$64.3+68%
2022$64.3$66.8+3.9%
2023$66.8$66.7-0.1%
2024$66.7$92.8+39%
2025$92.8$93.9+1.1%
2026 YTD$93.9$110.9+18%

BJ has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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