BIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

58
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BIRK has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BIRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

BIRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BIRK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$34.66-2.9%
Current17x$35.70—
Fair32x$64.55+81%
Expensive96x$195+447%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BIRK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BIRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BIRK, with profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BIRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$52.01
Downside-31%$24.79

Calculated from the latest close: $35.70 on Nov 12.

BIRK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BIRK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BIRK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.04+12%
Q1 2026$2.13+42%
Q4 2025$2.26+74%
Q3 2025$2.08+84%
Q2 2025$1.82+176%
Q1 2025$1.50+154%
Q4 2024$1.30+177%
Q3 2024$1.13+146%

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

BIRK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$812.6M+15%
Q1 2026$698.2M+9.4%
Q4 2025$446.5M+11%
Q3 2025$584.7M+15%
Q2 2025$705.5M+12%
Q1 2025$638M+19%
Q4 2024$401.8M+19%
Q3 2024$506.3M+22%

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BIRK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$224M-16%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$43.5M
Q4 2025-$72.7M-$43.4M
Q3 2025$145.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$266.7M-10%
Q1 2025-$41.3M-212%
Q4 2024-$29.2M+$41.4M
Q3 2024$140.8M+32%

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BIRK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2.4M shares
1 year-2.7%-5M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.2M shares

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BIRK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

BIRK's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BIRK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BIRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

BIRK's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BIRK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBIRKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.1% below
PE %20299 pts below

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BIRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.24.4% above
20 week MA$36.72.6% below
50 week MA$38.88.1% below
100 week MA$44.319% below

TSLA has stronger trend alignment. BIRK is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus TSLA above 5 of 5.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

BIRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$36.4$48.7+34%
2024$48.7$59.1+21%
2025$59.1$42.4-28%
2026 YTD$42.4$35.7-16%

BIRK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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