BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
BIRK has a slight edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BIRK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
BIRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
BIRK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $34.66 | -2.9% |
| Current | 17x | $35.70 | — |
| Fair | 32x | $64.55 | +81% |
| Expensive | 96x | $195 | +447% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BIRK's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BIRK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BIRK, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over BIRK on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
BIRK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.04 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.13 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.26 | +74% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.08 | +84% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.82 | +176% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.50 | +154% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.30 | +177% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.13 | +146% |
BIRK has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
BIRK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $812.6M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $698.2M | +9.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $446.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.7M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $705.5M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $638M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $401.8M | +19% |
| Q3 2024 | $506.3M | +22% |
BIRK's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $813M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 29% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 31% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +6 points |
| Q3 2024 | 21% | +15 points |
BIRK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BIRK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $224M | -16% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M | +$43.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$72.7M | -$43.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $145.5M | +3.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $266.7M | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | -$41.3M | -212% |
| Q4 2024 | -$29.2M | +$41.4M |
| Q3 2024 | $140.8M | +32% |
BIRK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $299M over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
BIRK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -1.2M shares |
BIRK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $260.5M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
BIRK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.6x | Healthy |
BIRK's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
BIRK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 39.8 | Neutral |
BIRK's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
BIRK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BIRK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 3.1% below |
| PE % | 20 | 29 | 9 pts below |
BIRK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BIRK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.2 | 4.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $36.7 | 2.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $38.8 | 8.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.3 | 19% below |
BIRK has stronger trend alignment. BIRK is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus NIO above 0 of 5.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
BIRK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $36.4 | $48.7 | +34% |
| 2024 | $48.7 | $59.1 | +21% |
| 2025 | $59.1 | $42.4 | -28% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.4 | $35.7 | -16% |
BIRK has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.