BIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

58
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BIRK has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BIRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

BIRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BIRK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$34.66-2.9%
Current17x$35.70—
Fair32x$64.55+81%
Expensive96x$195+447%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BIRK's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BIRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BIRK, with profitability holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BIRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$52.01
Downside-31%$24.79

Calculated from the latest close: $35.70 on Nov 12.

BIRK trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BIRK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BIRK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.04+12%
Q1 2026$2.13+42%
Q4 2025$2.26+74%
Q3 2025$2.08+84%
Q2 2025$1.82+176%
Q1 2025$1.50+154%
Q4 2024$1.30+177%
Q3 2024$1.13+146%

BIRK has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

BIRK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$812.6M+15%
Q1 2026$698.2M+9.4%
Q4 2025$446.5M+11%
Q3 2025$584.7M+15%
Q2 2025$705.5M+12%
Q1 2025$638M+19%
Q4 2024$401.8M+19%
Q3 2024$506.3M+22%

BIRK's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $813M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over BIRK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BIRK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$224M-16%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$43.5M
Q4 2025-$72.7M-$43.4M
Q3 2025$145.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$266.7M-10%
Q1 2025-$41.3M-212%
Q4 2024-$29.2M+$41.4M
Q3 2024$140.8M+32%

BIRK has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

BIRK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2.4M shares
1 year-2.7%-5M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.2M shares

BIRK has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

BIRK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

BIRK's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BIRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

BIRK's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BIRK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBIRKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.1% below
PE %20299 pts below

BIRK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BIRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.24.4% above
20 week MA$36.72.6% below
50 week MA$38.88.1% below
100 week MA$44.319% below

BIRK has stronger trend alignment. BIRK is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus LCID above 0 of 5.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

BIRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$36.4$48.7+34%
2024$48.7$59.1+21%
2025$59.1$42.4-28%
2026 YTD$42.4$35.7-16%

BIRK has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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