BIRK

Birkenstock Holding plc

58
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BIRK has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BIRK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

BIRK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BIRK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$34.66-2.9%
Current17x$35.70—
Fair32x$64.55+81%
Expensive96x$195+447%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BIRK's PE is 17x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BIRK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BIRK, with profitability holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BIRK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$52.01
Downside-31%$24.79

Calculated from the latest close: $35.70 on Nov 12.

BIRK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BIRK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BIRK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
Q3 2023: $0.46Q4 2023: $0.47Q1 2024: $0.59Q2 2024: $0.66Q3 2024: $1.13Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.50Q2 2025: $1.82Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.26Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.04+12%
Q1 2026$2.13+42%
Q4 2025$2.26+74%
Q3 2025$2.08+84%
Q2 2025$1.82+176%
Q1 2025$1.50+154%
Q4 2024$1.30+177%
Q3 2024$1.13+146%

BIRK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BIRK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
Q3 2023: $416MQ4 2023: $337MQ1 2024: $535MQ2 2024: $627MQ3 2024: $506MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $705MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $446MQ1 2026: $698MQ2 2026: $813M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$812.6M+15%
Q1 2026$698.2M+9.4%
Q4 2025$446.5M+11%
Q3 2025$584.7M+15%
Q2 2025$705.5M+12%
Q1 2025$638M+19%
Q4 2024$401.8M+19%
Q3 2024$506.3M+22%

BIRK has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BIRK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
Q3 2023: $106MQ4 2023: −$71MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $296MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: −$41MQ2 2025: $267MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: −$73MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $224M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$224M-16%
Q1 2026$2.2M+$43.5M
Q4 2025-$72.7M-$43.4M
Q3 2025$145.5M+3.4%
Q2 2025$266.7M-10%
Q1 2025-$41.3M-212%
Q4 2024-$29.2M+$41.4M
Q3 2024$140.8M+32%

BIRK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $299M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BIRK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BIRK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
Q3 2023: 183MQ4 2023: 187MQ1 2024: 188MQ2 2024: 188MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 186MQ3 2025: 187MQ4 2025: 184MQ1 2026: 184MQ2 2026: 181M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-2.4M shares
1 year-2.7%-5M shares
3 years-0.7%-1.2M shares

BIRK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BIRK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
Q3 2023: 4.5xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.0xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy
Q3 20241.6xHealthy

BIRK's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BIRK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BIRK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic39.8Neutral

BIRK's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BIRK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBIRKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.1% below
PE %20299 pts below

BIRK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BIRK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.24.4% above
20 week MA$36.72.6% below
50 week MA$38.88.1% below
100 week MA$44.319% below

BIRK has stronger trend alignment. BIRK is above 1 of 4 weekly averages versus F above 0 of 5.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BIRK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$36.4$48.7+34%
2024$48.7$59.1+21%
2025$59.1$42.4-28%
2026 YTD$42.4$35.7-16%

BIRK has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BIRK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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