BILI

Bilibili Inc.

60
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

BILI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over BILI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BILI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

BILI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BILI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE110x220x330x440x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE110x220x330x440x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current27x$13.50—
Cheap35x$17.64+31%
Fair90x$45.86+240%
Expensive316x$161+1094%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BILI has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

BILI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BILI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

BILI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+37%$18.48
Downside-26%$9.99

Calculated from the latest close: $13.50 on Nov 12.

BILI trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BILI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BILI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.85Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.45Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.49Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.40Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.51
Q3 2023: $-1.85Q4 2023: $-1.75Q1 2024: $-1.79Q2 2024: $-1.45Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.49Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.40Q1 2026: $0.47Q2 2026: $0.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.51+538%
Q1 2026$0.47+$0.69
Q4 2025$0.40+$0.89
Q3 2025$0.26+$1.25
Q2 2025$0.08+$1.53
Q1 2025-$0.22+$1.57
Q4 2024-$0.49+$1.26
Q3 2024-$0.99+$0.86

BILI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.51 over the past year, about six times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

BILI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $871MQ4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $850MQ2 2024: $920MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
Q3 2023: $871MQ4 2023: $953MQ1 2024: $850MQ2 2024: $920MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.2B+7.9%
Q1 2026$1.1B+6%
Q4 2025$1.2B+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.2%
Q2 2025$1.1B+20%
Q1 2025$1.1B+24%
Q4 2024$1.2B+22%
Q3 2024$1.1B+26%

BILI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BILI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BILI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $82MQ2 2024: $277MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $190MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0-100%
Q1 2026$0-100%
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$303.9M+9.8%
Q1 2025$190M+133%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

BILI's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $494M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

BILI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 414MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 415MQ2 2024: 416MQ3 2024: 420MQ4 2024: 424MQ1 2025: 420MQ2 2025: 437MQ3 2025: 455MQ4 2025: 458MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 454M
Q3 2023: 414MQ4 2023: 415MQ1 2024: 415MQ2 2024: 416MQ3 2024: 420MQ4 2024: 424MQ1 2025: 420MQ2 2025: 437MQ3 2025: 455MQ4 2025: 458MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 454M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-5.9M shares
1 year+3.7%+16.2M shares
3 years+9.7%+40.1M shares
5 years+18%+69M shares
Available history+39%+126M shares

BILI has 454M diluted shares, up 3.7% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over BILI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BILI Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -7.0xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.5x
Q1 2025: -7.0xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-7.0xNet Cash

BILI's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over BILI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BILI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.7Neutral
Stochastic14.5Oversold

BILI's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BILI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBILISector medianRelative
PE27x28x4.2% below
PE %33532 pts below

BILI has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BILI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.24.6% below
20 week MA$15.915% below
50 week MA$21.036% below
100 week MA$21.437% below
200 week MA$18.728% below

BILI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 28% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BILI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BILI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$82.0+350%
2021$82.0$45.9-44%
2022$45.9$23.2-50%
2023$23.2$12.2-47%
2024$12.2$18.8+55%
2025$18.8$25.0+32%
2026 YTD$25.0$13.5-46%

BILI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +350% in 2020 to −50% in 2022. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over BILI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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