BIIB

Biogen Inc.

39
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation5/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential75/ 100

BIIB's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over BIIB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BIIB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BIIB's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

BIIB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x114x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x57x85x114x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$24.84-90%
Fair15x$34.21-86%
Forward17x$250—
Expensive25x$57.60-77%
Current108x$250—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BIIB's PE is in its expensive range at 108x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over BIIB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BIIB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

BIIB has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BIIB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+4%$259.93
Downside-75%$62.29

Calculated from the latest close: $250.48 on Nov 12.

BIIB trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BIIB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BIIB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.97Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $7.93Q3 2024: $11.06Q4 2024: $11.18Q1 2025: $10.12Q2 2025: $10.45Q3 2025: $10.96Q4 2025: $8.79Q1 2026: $9.30Q2 2026: $5.63Q3 2026: $2.32Forward: $14.72
Q4 2023: $7.97Q1 2024: $8.00Q2 2024: $7.93Q3 2024: $11.06Q4 2024: $11.18Q1 2025: $10.12Q2 2025: $10.45Q3 2025: $10.96Q4 2025: $8.79Q1 2026: $9.30Q2 2026: $5.63Q3 2026: $2.32Forward: $14.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.72+535%
Q3 2026$2.32-79%
Q2 2026$5.63-46%
Q1 2026$9.30-8.1%
Q4 2025$8.79-21%
Q3 2025$10.96-0.9%
Q2 2025$10.45+32%
Q1 2025$10.12+26%
Q4 2024$11.18+40%

BIIB has the edge over UNH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

BIIB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B+11%
Q2 2026$2.7B+3.4%
Q1 2026$2.5B+1.9%
Q4 2025$2.3B-7.1%
Q3 2025$2.5B+2.8%
Q2 2025$2.6B+7.3%
Q1 2025$2.4B+6.1%
Q4 2024$2.5B+2.9%

BIIB's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $2.8B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over BIIB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BIIB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: $507MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $901MQ4 2024: $722MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $134MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $468MQ1 2026: $594MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $600M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: $507MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $901MQ4 2024: $722MQ1 2025: $222MQ2 2025: $134MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $468MQ1 2026: $594MQ2 2026: $408MQ3 2026: $600M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$600.4M-51%
Q2 2026$408M+204%
Q1 2026$594.3M+167%
Q4 2025$468M-35%
Q3 2025$1.2B+36%
Q2 2025$134.3M-77%
Q1 2025$222.2M-56%
Q4 2024$721.6M+$774.3M

BIIB still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2019 peak: $2.1B over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over BIIB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BIIB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 147MQ3 2025: 147MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 149MQ3 2026: 148M
Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 146MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 147MQ2 2025: 147MQ3 2025: 147MQ4 2025: 147MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 149MQ3 2026: 148M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-900K shares
1 year+0.5%+700K shares
3 years+2.1%+3M shares
5 years-0.5%-800K shares
Available history-17%-30.4M shares

BIIB has 148M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over BIIB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BIIB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 4.5x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 1.1xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 4.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.5xHigh
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

BIIB's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over BIIB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BIIB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.0Overbought
Stochastic85.4Overbought

BIIB's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

BIIB PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBIIBSector medianRelative
PE108x26x318% above
PE %1002971 pts above

BIIB is trading at 108x earnings, a 318% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over BIIB on valuation relative to its sector.

BIIB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.65% above
20 week MA$222.113% above
50 week MA$200.525% above
100 week MA$170.047% above
200 week MA$205.022% above

BIIB has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

BIIB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$300.1$248.9-17%
2021$248.9$235.4-5.4%
2022$235.4$279.2+19%
2023$279.2$258.8-7.3%
2024$258.8$151.3-42%
2025$151.3$177.1+17%
2026 YTD$177.1$250.5+41%

BIIB has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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