BHRB

Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp.

56
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BHRB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over BHRB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BHRB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BHRB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BHRB.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BHRB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x143x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x143x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward8.3x$70.96—
Cheap9.9x$59.63-16%
Current12x$70.96—
Fair14x$86.67+22%
Expensive21x$130+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BHRB has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

BHRB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BHRB, but weaker profitability.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

BHRB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$87.17
Downside-16%$59.40

Calculated from the latest close: $70.96 on Nov 12.

BHRB trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BHRB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BHRB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.02Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $2.82Q1 2025: $3.93Q2 2025: $7.31Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.72Q1 2026: $7.71Q2 2026: $6.24Q3 2026: $6.05Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.02Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $2.82Q1 2025: $3.93Q2 2025: $7.31Q3 2025: $7.46Q4 2025: $7.72Q1 2026: $7.71Q2 2026: $6.24Q3 2026: $6.05Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+41%
Q3 2026$6.05-19%
Q2 2026$6.24-15%
Q1 2026$7.71+96%
Q4 2025$7.72+174%
Q3 2025$7.46+321%
Q2 2025$7.31+1362%
Q1 2025$3.93+45%
Q4 2024$2.82-6.6%

BHRB earned $6.05 per share over the past year, down 19% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

BHRB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $107MQ3 2026: $120M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $69MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $83MQ1 2025: $83MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $87MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $107MQ3 2026: $120M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$119.7M+40%
Q2 2026$106.9M+23%
Q1 2026$84.7M+2%
Q4 2025$86.5M+4.9%
Q3 2025$85.4M+1.9%
Q2 2025$87.1M+26%
Q1 2025$83M+215%
Q4 2024$82.5M+204%

BHRB has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BHRB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $43M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $35MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $43M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.5M+23%
Q2 2026-$1.9M+$1.5M
Q1 2026$24.6M-31%
Q4 2025$28.3M-63%
Q3 2025$35.4M+82%
Q2 2025-$3.4M+$17M
Q1 2025$35.9M+542%
Q4 2024$76.6M+3203%

BHRB has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BHRB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 12MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 12MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.7%+1.8M shares
1 year+34%+5.2M shares
3 years+171%+12.8M shares

BHRB has 20M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over BHRB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BHRB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: 457.0xQ3 2024: 12.2xQ4 2024: 9.3xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.8x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: 457.0xQ3 2024: 12.2xQ4 2024: 9.3xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 4.3xQ3 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.8xHigh
Q2 20264.3xHigh
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20255.3xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20249.3xHigh

BHRB's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BHRB.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over BHRB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BHRB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.1Neutral
Stochastic39.2Neutral

BHRB's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BHRB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBHRBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.9% below
PE %336330 pts below

BHRB has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BHRB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$70.01.3% above
20 week MA$71.00% below
50 week MA$67.35.5% above
100 week MA$63.512% above
200 week MA$62.014% above

BHRB's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BHRB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.4$43.1-21%
2021$43.1$55.3+28%
2022$55.3$70.8+28%
2023$70.8$62.9-11%
2024$62.9$62.4-0.7%
2025$62.4$63.1+1%
2026 YTD$63.1$71.0+12%

BHRB has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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