BHC

Bausch Health Companies Inc.

53
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

BHC has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Weak

BHC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BHC PE Valuation

BHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect BHC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$12.62
Downside-35%$5.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.25 on Nov 12.

BHC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails BHC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.28Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $-3.24Q2 2026: $-2.96Q3 2026: $-2.29Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.28Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $-3.24Q2 2026: $-2.96Q3 2026: $-2.29Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30—
Q3 2026-$2.29-339%
Q2 2026-$2.96-1284%
Q1 2026-$3.24-$3.12
Q4 2025$0.42+$0.55
Q3 2025$0.96+$1.44
Q2 2025$0.25+$1.53
Q1 2025-$0.12+$1.12
Q4 2024-$0.13+$1.49

BHC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.29 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over BHC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+9.7%
Q2 2026$2.9B+13%
Q1 2026$2.5B+12%
Q4 2025$2.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$2.7B+6.8%
Q2 2025$2.5B+5.3%
Q1 2025$2.3B+4.9%
Q4 2024$2.6B+6.3%

BHC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $2.9B last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $292MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $302MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $495MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $593MQ3 2026: $748M
Q4 2023: $292MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $302MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $495MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $593MQ3 2026: $748M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$748M+138%
Q2 2026$593M+212%
Q1 2026$121M+26%
Q4 2025$403M-19%
Q3 2025$314M-6%
Q2 2025$190M-37%
Q1 2025$96M-26%
Q4 2024$495M+70%

BHC generated $1.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 70% from the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over BHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 367MQ2 2024: 370MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 370MQ2 2025: 373MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 375MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 381M
Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 367MQ2 2024: 370MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 370MQ2 2025: 373MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 375MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 381M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+2.6M shares
1 year+1.4%+5.2M shares
3 years+4.2%+15.3M shares
5 years+4.6%+16.7M shares
Available history+8.1%+28.6M shares

BHC has 381M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over BHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.6xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.1xQ3 2024: 7.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 7.3xQ2 2025: 7.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.5xQ1 2026: 10.9xQ2 2026: 9.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 9.6xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.1xQ3 2024: 7.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 7.3xQ2 2025: 7.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.5xQ1 2026: 10.9xQ2 2026: 9.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20269.2xHigh
Q1 202610.9xHigh
Q4 20256.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20257.1xHigh
Q1 20257.3xHigh
Q4 20247.3xHigh

BHC's net debt is about 7.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over BHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.2Overbought
Stochastic78.2Neutral

BHC's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

BHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBHCSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

BHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8620% above
20 week MA$6.2233% above
50 week MA$6.0038% above
100 week MA$6.2233% above
200 week MA$7.0317% above

BHC has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

BHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.7$20.3-32%
2021$20.3$28.0+38%
2022$28.0$6.33-77%
2023$6.33$8.02+27%
2024$8.02$7.65-4.6%
2025$7.65$7.20-5.9%
2026 YTD$7.20$8.25+15%

BHC has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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