BHC

Bausch Health Companies Inc.

53
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

BHC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over BHC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

BHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong
Weak

BHC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BHC PE Valuation

BHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect BHC's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over BHC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$12.62
Downside-35%$5.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.25 on Nov 12.

BHC trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BHC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BHC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.28Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $-3.24Q2 2026: $-2.96Q3 2026: $-2.29Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $-1.62Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.28Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-0.13Q1 2025: $-0.12Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $0.42Q1 2026: $-3.24Q2 2026: $-2.96Q3 2026: $-2.29Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30—
Q3 2026-$2.29-339%
Q2 2026-$2.96-1284%
Q1 2026-$3.24-$3.12
Q4 2025$0.42+$0.55
Q3 2025$0.96+$1.44
Q2 2025$0.25+$1.53
Q1 2025-$0.12+$1.12
Q4 2024-$0.13+$1.49

BHC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.29 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BHC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BHC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.5BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $2.5BQ2 2026: $2.9BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+9.7%
Q2 2026$2.9B+13%
Q1 2026$2.5B+12%
Q4 2025$2.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$2.7B+6.8%
Q2 2025$2.5B+5.3%
Q1 2025$2.3B+4.9%
Q4 2024$2.6B+6.3%

BHC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $2.9B last quarter, up 9.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over BHC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BHC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $292MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $302MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $495MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $593MQ3 2026: $748M
Q4 2023: $292MQ1 2024: $129MQ2 2024: $302MQ3 2024: $334MQ4 2024: $495MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $403MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $593MQ3 2026: $748M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$748M+138%
Q2 2026$593M+212%
Q1 2026$121M+26%
Q4 2025$403M-19%
Q3 2025$314M-6%
Q2 2025$190M-37%
Q1 2025$96M-26%
Q4 2024$495M+70%

BHC generated $1.9B in free cash flow over the past year, up 70% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BHC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 367MQ2 2024: 370MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 370MQ2 2025: 373MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 375MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 381M
Q4 2023: 365MQ1 2024: 367MQ2 2024: 370MQ3 2024: 368MQ4 2024: 368MQ1 2025: 370MQ2 2025: 373MQ3 2025: 376MQ4 2025: 375MQ1 2026: 373MQ2 2026: 378MQ3 2026: 381M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+2.6M shares
1 year+1.4%+5.2M shares
3 years+4.2%+15.3M shares
5 years+4.6%+16.7M shares
Available history+8.1%+28.6M shares

BHC has 381M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over BHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BHC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.6xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.1xQ3 2024: 7.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 7.3xQ2 2025: 7.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.5xQ1 2026: 10.9xQ2 2026: 9.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 9.6xQ1 2024: 9.1xQ2 2024: 9.1xQ3 2024: 7.9xQ4 2024: 7.3xQ1 2025: 7.3xQ2 2025: 7.1xQ3 2025: 6.3xQ4 2025: 6.5xQ1 2026: 10.9xQ2 2026: 9.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20269.2xHigh
Q1 202610.9xHigh
Q4 20256.5xHigh
Q3 20256.3xHigh
Q2 20257.1xHigh
Q1 20257.3xHigh
Q4 20247.3xHigh

BHC's net debt is about 7.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over BHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.2Overbought
Stochastic78.2Neutral

BHC's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBHCSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BHC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.8620% above
20 week MA$6.2233% above
50 week MA$6.0038% above
100 week MA$6.2233% above
200 week MA$7.0317% above

BHC has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 17% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

BHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.7$20.3-32%
2021$20.3$28.0+38%
2022$28.0$6.33-77%
2023$6.33$8.02+27%
2024$8.02$7.65-4.6%
2025$7.65$7.20-5.9%
2026 YTD$7.20$8.25+15%

BHC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over BHC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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