BGSI

Boyd Group Services Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BGSI has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BGSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BGSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$74.46—
Cheap119x$56.01-25%
Fair142x$66.59-11%
Current160x$74.46—
Expensive171x$80.22+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGSI's PE is 160x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over BGSI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BGSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$95.47
Downside-21%$58.83

Calculated from the latest close: $74.46 on Nov 12.

BGSI trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.96+743%
Q2 2026$0.47+27%
Q1 2026$0.67+8.1%
Q4 2025$0.83-27%
Q3 2025$0.74-61%

BGSI has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+30%
Q1 2026$982.9M+26%
Q4 2025$793.9M+5.5%
Q3 2025$790.2M+5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+0.2%
Q1 2025$778.3M-1%
Q4 2024$752.3M+1.7%

BGSI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over BGSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$88.3M+1.1%
Q1 2026$96M+77%
Q4 2025$62.1M-1.9%
Q3 2025$83.7M+77%
Q2 2025$87.4M+45%
Q1 2025$54.3M-13%
Q4 2024$63.2M-25%

BGSI has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

BGSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+68.3K shares
1 year+30%+6.4M shares

BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGSI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh

BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BGSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBGSISector medianRelative
PE160x18x786% above
PE %811368 pts above

BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.87.9% below
20 week MA$89.317% below
50 week MA$119.238% below

RIVN has stronger trend alignment. BGSI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus RIVN above 0 of 5.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BGSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$153.5$163.1+6.2%
2026 YTD$163.1$74.5-54%

BGSI has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 54% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over BGSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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