BGSI

Boyd Group Services Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BGSI has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BGSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BGSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$74.46—
Cheap119x$56.01-25%
Fair142x$66.59-11%
Current160x$74.46—
Expensive171x$80.22+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGSI's PE is 160x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over BGSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$95.47
Downside-21%$58.83

Calculated from the latest close: $74.46 on Nov 12.

BGSI trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.96+743%
Q2 2026$0.47+27%
Q1 2026$0.67+8.1%
Q4 2025$0.83-27%
Q3 2025$0.74-61%

BGSI has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+30%
Q1 2026$982.9M+26%
Q4 2025$793.9M+5.5%
Q3 2025$790.2M+5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+0.2%
Q1 2025$778.3M-1%
Q4 2024$752.3M+1.7%

BGSI has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$88.3M+1.1%
Q1 2026$96M+77%
Q4 2025$62.1M-1.9%
Q3 2025$83.7M+77%
Q2 2025$87.4M+45%
Q1 2025$54.3M-13%
Q4 2024$63.2M-25%

BGSI has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

BGSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+68.3K shares
1 year+30%+6.4M shares

BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGSI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh

BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over BGSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBGSISector medianRelative
PE160x18x786% above
PE %811368 pts above

BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over BGSI on valuation relative to its sector.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.87.9% below
20 week MA$89.317% below
50 week MA$119.238% below

NKE has stronger trend alignment. BGSI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus NKE above 1 of 5.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

BGSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$153.5$163.1+6.2%
2026 YTD$163.1$74.5-54%

BGSI has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 54% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over BGSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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