BGSI

Boyd Group Services Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BGSI has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BGSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BGSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$74.46—
Cheap119x$56.01-25%
Fair142x$66.59-11%
Current160x$74.46—
Expensive171x$80.22+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGSI's PE is 160x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$95.47
Downside-21%$58.83

Calculated from the latest close: $74.46 on Nov 12.

BGSI trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.96+743%
Q2 2026$0.47+27%
Q1 2026$0.67+8.1%
Q4 2025$0.83-27%
Q3 2025$0.74-61%

BGSI has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+30%
Q1 2026$982.9M+26%
Q4 2025$793.9M+5.5%
Q3 2025$790.2M+5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+0.2%
Q1 2025$778.3M-1%
Q4 2024$752.3M+1.7%

BGSI's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over BGSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$88.3M+1.1%
Q1 2026$96M+77%
Q4 2025$62.1M-1.9%
Q3 2025$83.7M+77%
Q2 2025$87.4M+45%
Q1 2025$54.3M-13%
Q4 2024$63.2M-25%

BGSI has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

BGSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+68.3K shares
1 year+30%+6.4M shares

BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGSI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh

BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BGSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBGSISector medianRelative
PE160x18x786% above
PE %811368 pts above

BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.87.9% below
20 week MA$89.317% below
50 week MA$119.238% below

LCID has stronger trend alignment. BGSI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus LCID above 0 of 5.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

BGSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$153.5$163.1+6.2%
2026 YTD$163.1$74.5-54%

BGSI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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