BGSI

Boyd Group Services Inc.

60
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

BGSI has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BGSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

BGSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BGSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x175x233x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$74.46—
Cheap119x$56.01-25%
Fair142x$66.59-11%
Current160x$74.46—
Expensive171x$80.22+7.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGSI's PE is 160x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGSI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$95.47
Downside-21%$58.83

Calculated from the latest close: $74.46 on Nov 12.

BGSI trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGSI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BGSI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
Q3 2024: $1.91Q4 2024: $1.13Q1 2025: $0.62Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.83Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.96+743%
Q2 2026$0.47+27%
Q1 2026$0.67+8.1%
Q4 2025$0.83-27%
Q3 2025$0.74-61%

BGSI has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BGSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $740MQ1 2024: $787MQ2 2024: $779MQ3 2024: $752MQ4 2024: $752MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $780MQ3 2025: $790MQ4 2025: $794MQ1 2026: $983MQ2 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1B+30%
Q1 2026$982.9M+26%
Q4 2025$793.9M+5.5%
Q3 2025$790.2M+5%
Q2 2025$780.4M+0.2%
Q1 2025$778.3M-1%
Q4 2024$752.3M+1.7%

BGSI has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BGSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $85MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $60MQ3 2024: $47MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $96MQ2 2026: $88M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$88.3M+1.1%
Q1 2026$96M+77%
Q4 2025$62.1M-1.9%
Q3 2025$83.7M+77%
Q2 2025$87.4M+45%
Q1 2025$54.3M-13%
Q4 2024$63.2M-25%

BGSI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2023: $330M over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

BGSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 28MQ2 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+68.3K shares
1 year+30%+6.4M shares

BGSI has 28M diluted shares, up 30% from a year ago.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over BGSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGSI Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
Q3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.1xQ1 2025: 3.9xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 4.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.8xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.9xElevated
Q4 20244.1xHigh
Q3 20244.3xHigh

BGSI's net debt is about 4.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.9 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BGSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.6Neutral
Stochastic21.0Neutral

BGSI's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BGSI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBGSISector medianRelative
PE160x18x786% above
PE %811368 pts above

BGSI is trading at 160x earnings, a 786% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$80.87.9% below
20 week MA$89.317% below
50 week MA$119.238% below

F has stronger trend alignment. BGSI is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus F above 0 of 5.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BGSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$153.5$163.1+6.2%
2026 YTD$163.1$74.5-54%

BGSI has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 54% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BGSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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