BGS

B&G Foods, Inc.

48
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BGS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over BGS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

BGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BGS's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

BGS PE Valuation

BGS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

BGS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BGS to show an outlook.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$4.64
Downside-28%$2.41

Calculated from the latest close: $3.35 on Nov 12.

BGS trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-1.45Q2 2024: $-1.55Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-3.18Q1 2025: $-2.66Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-3.16Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.96Q3 2026: $-0.89Q4 2026: $-1.05
Q4 2023: $-0.89Q1 2024: $-1.45Q2 2024: $-1.55Q3 2024: $-0.35Q4 2024: $-3.18Q1 2025: $-2.66Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-3.16Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.96Q3 2026: $-0.89Q4 2026: $-1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.05+$2.11
Q2 2026-$0.89+$1.94
Q1 2026-$0.96+$1.70
Q4 2025-$0.54+$2.64
Q3 2025-$3.16-$2.81
Q2 2025-$2.83-$1.28
Q1 2025-$2.66-$1.21
Q4 2024-$3.18-$2.29

BGS is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.05 per share over the past year, against $3.18 at its worst in late 2024.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over BGS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $578MQ1 2024: $475MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $461MQ4 2024: $552MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $424MQ3 2025: $439MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: $383MQ4 2026: $460M
Q4 2023: $578MQ1 2024: $475MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $461MQ4 2024: $552MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $424MQ3 2025: $439MQ1 2026: $540MQ2 2026: $409MQ3 2026: $383MQ4 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$459.8M+4.7%
Q2 2026$383.3M-9.7%
Q1 2026$408.9M-3.9%
Q4 2025$539.6M-2.2%
Q3 2025$439.3M-4.7%
Q2 2025$424.4M-4.5%
Q1 2025$425.4M-10%
Q4 2024$551.6M-4.6%

BGS's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $460M last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH has the edge over BGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$679,000Q4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $28MQ4 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: $83MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$679,000Q4 2024: $72MQ1 2025: $42MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: −$71MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $19MQ3 2026: $28MQ4 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.2M+$35.6M
Q2 2026$28.2M+147%
Q1 2026$18.7M-56%
Q4 2025$87.7M+22%
Q3 2025-$70.7M-$70M
Q2 2025$11.5M+122%
Q1 2025$42.4M+54%
Q4 2024$71.7M-14%

BGS has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

BGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 81M
Q4 2023: 74MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 80MQ1 2026: 80MQ2 2026: 80MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 81M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+21.5K shares
1 year+1.5%+1.2M shares
3 years+9.1%+6.8M shares
5 years+24%+15.7M shares
Available history+25%+16.2M shares

BGS has 81M diluted shares, up 1.5% from a year ago.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over BGS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 27.9xQ2 2024: 30.3xQ3 2024: 10.7xQ1 2026: 11.6xQ2 2026: 16.9xQ3 2026: 15.4xQ4 2026: 15.7x
Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 27.9xQ2 2024: 30.3xQ3 2024: 10.7xQ1 2026: 11.6xQ2 2026: 16.9xQ3 2026: 15.4xQ4 2026: 15.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202615.7xHigh
Q2 202615.4xHigh
Q1 202616.9xHigh
Q4 202511.6xHigh
Q3 202410.7xHigh
Q2 202430.3xHigh
Q1 202427.9xHigh
Q4 202313.4xHigh

BGS's net debt is about 16 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 11 years a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over BGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic39.9Neutral

BGS's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

BGS PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricBGSSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

BGS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

BGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.5929% above
20 week MA$3.156.3% above
50 week MA$4.1018% below
100 week MA$4.7129% below
200 week MA$7.7557% below

BGS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 57% below its 200-week average.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

BGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.2$30.5+67%
2021$30.5$31.2+2.4%
2022$31.2$11.7-63%
2023$11.7$10.5-9.9%
2024$10.5$7.09-32%
2025$7.09$4.57-36%
2026 YTD$4.57$3.35-27%

BGS has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

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