BGC

BGC Group, Inc

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BGC's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 23x earnings, below its usual 36x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 28x earnings, below its usual 43x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

BGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BGC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BGC.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

BGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.2x$11.14—
Cheap22x$10.67-4.2%
Current23x$11.14—
Fair36x$17.43+56%
Expensive68x$33.15+198%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGC's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over BGC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGC, with profitability improving.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

BGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$14.79
Downside-14%$9.59

Calculated from the latest close: $11.14 on Nov 12.

BGC trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BGC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+215%
Q3 2026$0.49+53%
Q2 2026$0.41+41%
Q1 2026$0.37+42%
Q4 2025$0.31+24%
Q3 2025$0.32+28%
Q2 2025$0.29+16%
Q1 2025$0.26+117%
Q4 2024$0.25+257%

BGC has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

BGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$832.6M+13%
Q2 2026$845.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$955.5M+44%
Q4 2025$756.4M+32%
Q3 2025$736.8M+31%
Q2 2025$784M+42%
Q1 2025$664.2M+15%
Q4 2024$572.3M+11%

BGC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $833M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over BGC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$205.9M+50%
Q2 2026$156.7M+141%
Q1 2026$15.4M+$19.8M
Q4 2025$175.1M-29%
Q3 2025$137.2M+74%
Q2 2025$65M+$128.4M
Q1 2025-$4.4M-118%
Q4 2024$245.6M+46%

BGC has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

BGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.4%-2.1M shares
3 years-0.3%-1.2M shares
5 years-14%-80.7M shares
Available history+38%+132M shares

BGC has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

BGC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

BGC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BGC.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over BGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

BGC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBGCSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %166347 pts below

BGC has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.42.5% below
20 week MA$11.53% below
50 week MA$10.64.9% above
100 week MA$10.011% above
200 week MA$8.4532% above

BGC has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

BGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.90$4.15-30%
2021$4.15$4.62+11%
2022$4.62$3.83-17%
2023$3.83$7.22+89%
2024$7.22$9.10+26%
2025$9.10$9.09-0.1%
2026 YTD$9.09$11.1+23%

BGC has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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