BGC
BGC Group, Inc
BGC has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BGC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BGC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BGC.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
BGC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 7.2x | $11.14 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $10.67 | -4.2% |
| Current | 23x | $11.14 | — |
| Fair | 36x | $17.43 | +56% |
| Expensive | 68x | $33.15 | +198% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BGC's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM has the edge over BGC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BGC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
BGC has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
BGC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.54 | +215% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.49 | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.41 | +41% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.37 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.29 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.26 | +117% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.25 | +257% |
BGC has the edge over JPM on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.
BGC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $832.6M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $845.5M | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $955.5M | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $756.4M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $736.8M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $784M | +42% |
| Q1 2025 | $664.2M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $572.3M | +11% |
BGC has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 12% | +7.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | 0 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.6% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8% | -1.4 points |
BGC's operating margin was 12% last quarter, up 7.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over BGC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BGC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $205.9M | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $156.7M | +141% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.4M | +$19.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $175.1M | -29% |
| Q3 2025 | $137.2M | +74% |
| Q2 2025 | $65M | +$128.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4M | -118% |
| Q4 2024 | $245.6M | +46% |
BGC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BGC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -2.6M shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -1.2M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -80.7M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +132M shares |
BGC has 476M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $121.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $112.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $68M |
| Q3 2025 | $41.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $148.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $23.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $50M |
BGC spent $304M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over BGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
BGC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
BGC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BGC.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over BGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BGC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.5 | Neutral |
BGC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
BGC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BGC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 13x | 75% above |
| PE % | 16 | 63 | 47 pts below |
BGC is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over BGC on valuation relative to its sector.
BGC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.4 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.5 | 3% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 4.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.0 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $8.45 | 32% above |
BGC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM has the edge over BGC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BGC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.90 | $4.15 | -30% |
| 2021 | $4.15 | $4.62 | +11% |
| 2022 | $4.62 | $3.83 | -17% |
| 2023 | $3.83 | $7.22 | +89% |
| 2024 | $7.22 | $9.10 | +26% |
| 2025 | $9.10 | $9.09 | -0.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.09 | $11.1 | +23% |
BGC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.