BGC

BGC Group, Inc

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BGC has the edge over GS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BGC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BGC.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

BGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.2x$11.14—
Cheap22x$10.67-4.2%
Current23x$11.14—
Fair36x$17.43+56%
Expensive68x$33.15+198%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BGC has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$14.79
Downside-14%$9.59

Calculated from the latest close: $11.14 on Nov 12.

BGC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails BGC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+215%
Q3 2026$0.49+53%
Q2 2026$0.41+41%
Q1 2026$0.37+42%
Q4 2025$0.31+24%
Q3 2025$0.32+28%
Q2 2025$0.29+16%
Q1 2025$0.26+117%
Q4 2024$0.25+257%

BGC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.49 over the past year, up 53% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over BGC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$832.6M+13%
Q2 2026$845.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$955.5M+44%
Q4 2025$756.4M+32%
Q3 2025$736.8M+31%
Q2 2025$784M+42%
Q1 2025$664.2M+15%
Q4 2024$572.3M+11%

BGC has the edge over GS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

BGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$205.9M+50%
Q2 2026$156.7M+141%
Q1 2026$15.4M+$19.8M
Q4 2025$175.1M-29%
Q3 2025$137.2M+74%
Q2 2025$65M+$128.4M
Q1 2025-$4.4M-118%
Q4 2024$245.6M+46%

BGC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

BGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.4%-2.1M shares
3 years-0.3%-1.2M shares
5 years-14%-80.7M shares
Available history+38%+132M shares

BGC has 476M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over BGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

BGC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BGC.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over BGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

BGC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

BGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBGCSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %166347 pts below

BGC is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over BGC on valuation relative to its sector.

BGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.42.5% below
20 week MA$11.53% below
50 week MA$10.64.9% above
100 week MA$10.011% above
200 week MA$8.4532% above

BGC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

BGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.90$4.15-30%
2021$4.15$4.62+11%
2022$4.62$3.83-17%
2023$3.83$7.22+89%
2024$7.22$9.10+26%
2025$9.10$9.09-0.1%
2026 YTD$9.09$11.1+23%

BGC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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