BGC

BGC Group, Inc

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BGC's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 23x earnings, below its usual 36x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

BGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BGC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BGC.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

BGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.2x$11.14โ€”
Cheap22x$10.67-4.2%
Current23x$11.14โ€”
Fair36x$17.43+56%
Expensive68x$33.15+198%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGC's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.2x next year's earnings.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BGC has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$14.79
Downside-14%$9.59

Calculated from the latest close: $11.14 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BGC and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BGC and COIN's risk to reward.

BGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+215%
Q3 2026$0.49+53%
Q2 2026$0.41+41%
Q1 2026$0.37+42%
Q4 2025$0.31+24%
Q3 2025$0.32+28%
Q2 2025$0.29+16%
Q1 2025$0.26+117%
Q4 2024$0.25+257%

BGC has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$832.6M+13%
Q2 2026$845.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$955.5M+44%
Q4 2025$756.4M+32%
Q3 2025$736.8M+31%
Q2 2025$784M+42%
Q1 2025$664.2M+15%
Q4 2024$572.3M+11%

BGC has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

BGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: โˆ’$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: โˆ’$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: โˆ’$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$205.9M+50%
Q2 2026$156.7M+141%
Q1 2026$15.4M+$19.8M
Q4 2025$175.1M-29%
Q3 2025$137.2M+74%
Q2 2025$65M+$128.4M
Q1 2025-$4.4M-118%
Q4 2024$245.6M+46%

BGC has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

BGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.4%-2.1M shares
3 years-0.3%-1.2M shares
5 years-14%-80.7M shares
Available history+38%+132M shares

BGC has 476M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over BGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BGC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

BGC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BGC.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over BGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

BGC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBGCSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %166347 pts below

BGC is trading at 23x earnings, a 75% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.42.5% below
20 week MA$11.53% below
50 week MA$10.64.9% above
100 week MA$10.011% above
200 week MA$8.4532% above

BGC has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

BGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.90$4.15-30%
2021$4.15$4.62+11%
2022$4.62$3.83-17%
2023$3.83$7.22+89%
2024$7.22$9.10+26%
2025$9.10$9.09-0.1%
2026 YTD$9.09$11.1+23%

BGC has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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