BGC

BGC Group, Inc

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

BGC has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

BGC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BGC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BGC.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BGC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE79x159x238x318x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.2x$11.14—
Cheap22x$10.67-4.2%
Current23x$11.14—
Fair36x$17.43+56%
Expensive68x$33.15+198%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BGC has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

BGC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BGC, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BGC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$14.79
Downside-14%$9.59

Calculated from the latest close: $11.14 on Nov 12.

BGC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BGC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BGC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
Q4 2023: $0.07Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.25Q3 2024: $0.25Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.29Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.41Q3 2026: $0.49Forward: $1.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.54+215%
Q3 2026$0.49+53%
Q2 2026$0.41+41%
Q1 2026$0.37+42%
Q4 2025$0.31+24%
Q3 2025$0.32+28%
Q2 2025$0.29+16%
Q1 2025$0.26+117%
Q4 2024$0.25+257%

BGC has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

BGC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
Q4 2023: $517MQ1 2024: $579MQ2 2024: $551MQ3 2024: $561MQ4 2024: $572MQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $756MQ1 2026: $955MQ2 2026: $846MQ3 2026: $833M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$832.6M+13%
Q2 2026$845.5M+7.8%
Q1 2026$955.5M+44%
Q4 2025$756.4M+32%
Q3 2025$736.8M+31%
Q2 2025$784M+42%
Q1 2025$664.2M+15%
Q4 2024$572.3M+11%

BGC's revenue has grown year over year for 15 quarters in a row: $833M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $7.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BGC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
Q4 2023: $168MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: −$63MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: $246MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $137MQ4 2025: $175MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $157MQ3 2026: $206M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$205.9M+50%
Q2 2026$156.7M+141%
Q1 2026$15.4M+$19.8M
Q4 2025$175.1M-29%
Q3 2025$137.2M+74%
Q2 2025$65M+$128.4M
Q1 2025-$4.4M-118%
Q4 2024$245.6M+46%

BGC has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BGC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
Q4 2023: 490MQ1 2024: 478MQ2 2024: 481MQ3 2024: 479MQ4 2024: 479MQ1 2025: 486MQ2 2025: 485MQ3 2025: 478MQ4 2025: 481MQ1 2026: 479MQ2 2026: 479MQ3 2026: 476M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.4%-2.1M shares
3 years-0.3%-1.2M shares
5 years-14%-80.7M shares
Available history+38%+132M shares

BGC has 476M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BGC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

BGC's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BGC.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over BGC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BGC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic34.5Neutral

BGC's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BGC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBGCSector medianRelative
PE23x13x75% above
PE %166347 pts below

BGC has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BGC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.42.5% below
20 week MA$11.53% below
50 week MA$10.64.9% above
100 week MA$10.011% above
200 week MA$8.4532% above

BGC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 32% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over BGC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BGC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.90$4.15-30%
2021$4.15$4.62+11%
2022$4.62$3.83-17%
2023$3.83$7.22+89%
2024$7.22$9.10+26%
2025$9.10$9.09-0.1%
2026 YTD$9.09$11.1+23%

BGC has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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