BG

Bunge Global S.A.

51
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BG's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 17x earnings, about twice its usual 9.2x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

BG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

BG's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.7x15x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7x$41.36-59%
Fair9.2x$54.65-45%
Forward9.3x$99.98—
Expensive16x$97.75-2.2%
Current17x$99.98—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BG's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.3x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BG, with profitability improving.

BG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$139.28
Downside-15%$85.16

Calculated from the latest close: $99.98 on Nov 12.

BG's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +39% against −15%.

BG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.89Q1 2024: $12.42Q2 2024: $8.81Q3 2024: $7.90Q4 2024: $8.08Q1 2025: $7.88Q2 2025: $10.01Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $5.42Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $5.15Q3 2026: $5.95Forward: $10.80
Q4 2023: $14.89Q1 2024: $12.42Q2 2024: $8.81Q3 2024: $7.90Q4 2024: $8.08Q1 2025: $7.88Q2 2025: $10.01Q3 2025: $9.29Q4 2025: $5.42Q1 2026: $4.29Q2 2026: $5.15Q3 2026: $5.95Forward: $10.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.80+81%
Q3 2026$5.95-36%
Q2 2026$5.15-49%
Q1 2026$4.29-46%
Q4 2025$5.42-33%
Q3 2025$9.29+18%
Q2 2025$10.01+14%
Q1 2025$7.88-37%
Q4 2024$8.08-46%

BG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.95 over the past year, against $15.91 in late 2021.

BG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14.9BQ1 2024: $13.4BQ2 2024: $13.2BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $12.8BQ3 2025: $22.2BQ4 2025: $23.8BQ1 2026: $21.9BQ2 2026: $24BQ3 2026: $23.8B
Q4 2023: $14.9BQ1 2024: $13.4BQ2 2024: $13.2BQ3 2024: $12.9BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $12.8BQ3 2025: $22.2BQ4 2025: $23.8BQ1 2026: $21.9BQ2 2026: $24BQ3 2026: $23.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.8B+7.4%
Q2 2026$24B+88%
Q1 2026$21.9B+88%
Q4 2025$23.8B+75%
Q3 2025$22.2B+72%
Q2 2025$12.8B-3.6%
Q1 2025$11.6B-13%
Q4 2024$13.5B-9.3%

BG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $23.8B last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $758MQ2 2024: −$1.8BQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: −$595MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $809MQ1 2026: −$877MQ2 2026: −$1BQ3 2026: −$1.6B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $758MQ2 2024: −$1.8BQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $564MQ1 2025: −$595MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $385MQ4 2025: $809MQ1 2026: −$877MQ2 2026: −$1BQ3 2026: −$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-505%
Q2 2026-$1B+$450M
Q1 2026-$877M-$282M
Q4 2025$809M+43%
Q3 2025$385M-60%
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$293M
Q1 2025-$595M-178%
Q3 2024$973M-13%

BG has burned cash in most quarters: −$2.7B over the past year, against −$1.1B the year before.

BG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 151MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 166MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 194M
Q4 2023: 151MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 143MQ3 2024: 142MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 198MQ4 2025: 166MQ1 2026: 196MQ2 2026: 195MQ3 2026: 194M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.3M shares
1 year-2.2%-4.4M shares
3 years+28%+42.8M shares
5 years+27%+41.5M shares
Available history+37%+52M shares

BG has 194M diluted shares, down 2.2% from a year ago.

BG Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 7.0xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 6.3x
Q4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.8xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 7.0xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 6.3xQ3 2026: 6.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.3xHigh
Q2 20266.3xHigh
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 20257.0xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20251.8xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

BG's net debt is about 6.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.0 years a year ago.

BG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

BG's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

BG PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricBGSector medianRelative
PE17x19x14% below
PE %841866 pts above

BG is trading at 17x earnings, a 14% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

BG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$102.92.9% below
20 week MA$109.99.1% below
50 week MA$113.112% below
100 week MA$97.03.1% above
200 week MA$98.21.8% above

BG has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 1.8% above its 200-week average.

BG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$57.4$64.3+12%
2021$64.3$90.2+40%
2022$90.2$99.0+9.8%
2023$99.0$101.0+2%
2024$101.0$78.1-23%
2025$78.1$89.1+14%
2026 YTD$89.1$100.0+12%

BG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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