BFST

Business First Bancshares, Inc.

56
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BFST offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has a slight edge over BFST overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BFST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BFST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFST.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BFST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.2x$22.92-29%
Fair10x$27.95-14%
Forward10x$32.41—
Expensive12x$33.92+4.6%
Current12x$32.41—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BFST's PE is in its expensive range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over BFST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BFST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

BFST has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

BFST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$38.98
Downside-16%$27.31

Calculated from the latest close: $32.41 on Nov 12.

BFST trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with more potential downside for the same potential upside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BFST, with less potential downside for the same potential upside.

BFST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.59Q4 2025: $2.79Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $3.23
Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.59Q4 2025: $2.79Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $3.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.23+16%
Q3 2026$2.80+8.1%
Q2 2026$2.82+12%
Q1 2026$2.82+16%
Q4 2025$2.79+23%
Q3 2025$2.59+12%
Q2 2025$2.51+3.7%
Q1 2025$2.43-4%
Q4 2024$2.26-13%

BFST earned $2.80 per share over the past year, up 8.1% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over BFST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BFST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $93M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $93M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$93.2M+15%
Q2 2026$91.8M+13%
Q1 2026$89.2M+13%
Q4 2025$83.1M+7.1%
Q3 2025$80.9M+21%
Q2 2025$81.5M+23%
Q1 2025$79.2M+30%
Q4 2024$77.6M+29%

BFST has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BFST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M+36%
Q2 2026$27.1M+96%
Q1 2026$26.7M-3.5%
Q4 2025$18.5M+5%
Q3 2025$32.1M+53%
Q2 2025$13.8M-1.5%
Q1 2025$27.7M+283%
Q4 2024$17.6M+15%

BFST has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BFST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-32.7K shares
1 year+10%+3.1M shares
3 years+29%+7.4M shares
5 years+60%+12.2M shares
Available history+139%+19.1M shares

BFST has 33M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over BFST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BFST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

BFST has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BFST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.9Neutral
Stochastic69.8Neutral

BFST's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BFST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBFSTSector medianRelative
PE12x13x11% below
PE %806317 pts above

BFST has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BFST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.53% above
20 week MA$31.33.4% above
50 week MA$29.211% above
100 week MA$26.920% above
200 week MA$24.035% above

BFST has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

BFST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.9$20.0-20%
2021$20.0$28.1+41%
2022$28.1$22.0-22%
2023$22.0$24.7+12%
2024$24.7$25.7+4.3%
2025$25.7$26.7+3.9%
2026 YTD$26.7$32.4+21%

BFST has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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