BFST

Business First Bancshares, Inc.

56
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

BFST has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BFST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BFST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFST.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BFST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.3x8.6x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.2x$22.92-29%
Fair10x$27.95-14%
Forward10x$32.41—
Expensive12x$33.92+4.6%
Current12x$32.41—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BFST has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

BFST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BFST, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BFST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$38.98
Downside-16%$27.31

Calculated from the latest close: $32.41 on Nov 12.

BFST has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BFST on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.59Q4 2025: $2.79Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $3.23
Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.53Q2 2024: $2.42Q3 2024: $2.31Q4 2024: $2.26Q1 2025: $2.43Q2 2025: $2.51Q3 2025: $2.59Q4 2025: $2.79Q1 2026: $2.82Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $3.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.23+16%
Q3 2026$2.80+8.1%
Q2 2026$2.82+12%
Q1 2026$2.82+16%
Q4 2025$2.79+23%
Q3 2025$2.59+12%
Q2 2025$2.51+3.7%
Q1 2025$2.43-4%
Q4 2024$2.26-13%

BFST has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

BFST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $93M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $66MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $93M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$93.2M+15%
Q2 2026$91.8M+13%
Q1 2026$89.2M+13%
Q4 2025$83.1M+7.1%
Q3 2025$80.9M+21%
Q2 2025$81.5M+23%
Q1 2025$79.2M+30%
Q4 2024$77.6M+29%

BFST's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $93M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over BFST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BFST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $27MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M+36%
Q2 2026$27.1M+96%
Q1 2026$26.7M-3.5%
Q4 2025$18.5M+5%
Q3 2025$32.1M+53%
Q2 2025$13.8M-1.5%
Q1 2025$27.7M+283%
Q4 2024$17.6M+15%

BFST has the edge over BLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK's free cash flow was $4.8B over the past year, up 22% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BFST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 25MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-32.7K shares
1 year+10%+3.1M shares
3 years+29%+7.4M shares
5 years+60%+12.2M shares
Available history+139%+19.1M shares

BFST has 33M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over BFST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BFST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 20251.0xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

BFST has the edge over BLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BFST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.9Neutral
Stochastic69.8Neutral

BFST's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BFST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBFSTSector medianRelative
PE12x13x11% below
PE %806317 pts above

BFST has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BFST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.53% above
20 week MA$31.33.4% above
50 week MA$29.211% above
100 week MA$26.920% above
200 week MA$24.035% above

BFST is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

BFST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.9$20.0-20%
2021$20.0$28.1+41%
2022$28.1$22.0-22%
2023$22.0$24.7+12%
2024$24.7$25.7+4.3%
2025$25.7$26.7+3.9%
2026 YTD$26.7$32.4+21%

BFST has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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