BFS

Saul Centers, Inc.

45
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BFS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 31x earnings, above its usual 25x.

BFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

BFS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like BFS.

BFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$19.44-32%
Fair24x$22.51-21%
Current31x$28.44—
Expensive33x$30.25+6.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BFS's PE is in its expensive range at 31x.

BFS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BFS to show an outlook.

BFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$32.70
Downside-13%$24.73

Calculated from the latest close: $28.44 on Nov 12.

BFS's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +15% against −13%.

BFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.73Q1 2024: $1.73Q2 2024: $1.78Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.63Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.32Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $0.97Q3 2026: $0.92
Q4 2023: $1.73Q1 2024: $1.73Q2 2024: $1.78Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.63Q1 2025: $1.47Q2 2025: $1.32Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $0.97Q3 2026: $0.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.92-21%
Q2 2026$0.97-27%
Q1 2026$1.06-28%
Q4 2025$1.09-33%
Q3 2025$1.16-37%
Q2 2025$1.32-26%
Q1 2025$1.47-15%
Q4 2024$1.63-5.8%

BFS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.92 over the past year, against $1.84 in late 2024.

BFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $78M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: $67MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $78M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$78.4M+8.9%
Q2 2026$76.8M+8.4%
Q1 2026$78.3M+8.9%
Q4 2025$75.1M+11%
Q3 2025$72M+7%
Q2 2025$70.8M+5.8%
Q1 2025$71.9M+7.7%
Q4 2024$67.9M+1.9%

BFS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $78M last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $30MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $22MQ1 2026: $29MQ2 2026: $31MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14M-32%
Q2 2026$30.8M+16%
Q1 2026$29.3M-3.6%
Q4 2025$22.2M-23%
Q3 2025$20.6M+$49M
Q2 2025$26.6M+$39.1M
Q1 2025$30.4M+$42.1M
Q4 2024$28.8M-12%

BFS's free cash flow was $96M over the past year, down 9.5% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like BFS.

BFS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 24MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 24MQ1 2026: 24MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+50K shares
1 year+1%+237K shares
3 years+1.7%+417K shares
5 years+3.3%+783K shares
Available history+6.2%+1.4M shares

BFS has 24M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

BFS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 11.9xQ2 2024: 12.0xQ3 2024: 12.1xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 8.6xQ3 2025: 7.4xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.0x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 11.9xQ2 2024: 12.0xQ3 2024: 12.1xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 10.3xQ2 2025: 8.6xQ3 2025: 7.4xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.0xQ3 2026: 6.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.0xHigh
Q2 20266.0xHigh
Q1 20266.1xHigh
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20257.4xHigh
Q2 20258.6xHigh
Q1 202510.3xHigh
Q4 20243.8xElevated

BFS's net debt is about 6.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like BFS.

BFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.7Oversold
Stochastic5.0Oversold

BFS's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

BFS PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricBFSSector medianRelative
PE31x24x29% above
PE %752352 pts above

BFS is trading at 31x earnings, a 29% premium to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

BFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.43.2% below
20 week MA$32.312% below
50 week MA$33.114% below
100 week MA$33.515% below
200 week MA$35.720% below

BFS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

BFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.3$32.3-37%
2021$32.3$52.0+61%
2022$52.0$40.7-22%
2023$40.7$39.3-3.6%
2024$39.3$38.4-2.3%
2025$38.4$31.6-18%
2026 YTD$31.6$28.4-9.9%

BFS has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 9.9% so far in 2026.

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