BFC
Bank First Corporation
BFC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has the edge over BFC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BFC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BFC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFC.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
BFC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $95.95 | -36% |
| Forward | 13x | $150 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $119 | -21% |
| Expensive | 18x | $146 | -3% |
| Current | 19x | $150 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BFC has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
BFC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BFC, but weaker profitability.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
BFC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.60 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.01 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.69 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.19 | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.23 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.11 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.93 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.81 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.50 | -11% |
BFC earned $8.01 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over BFC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BFC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65.3M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $65M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $63.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.9M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.2M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.6M | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.1M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.1M | -47% |
BFC has the edge over JPM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 51% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 51% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 50% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 51% | +5.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 54% | -6.7 points |
BFC has the edge over JPM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM's operating margin was 40% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BFC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26M | +109% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.7M | +151% |
| Q1 2026 | -$16.9M | -521% |
| Q4 2025 | $26.3M | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5M | -26% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.2M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $4M | +628% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.4M | +51% |
BFC has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BFC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -62.8K shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +1.2M shares |
| 3 years | +6.8% | +700K shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +3.4M shares |
| Available history | +60% | +4.2M shares |
BFC has 11M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $24M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $412,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $20.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
BFC spent $24M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8.2% from the year before.
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over BFC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
BFC Net Leverage
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BFC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
BFC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
BFC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BFC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 44% above |
| PE % | 89 | 63 | 26 pts above |
BFC is trading at 19x earnings, a 44% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM has the edge over BFC on valuation relative to its sector.
BFC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $149.0 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $151.1 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $143.2 | 4.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.5 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.1 | 41% above |
BFC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
BFC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $69.3 | $68.1 | -1.7% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $70.5 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $70.5 | $93.0 | +32% |
| 2023 | $93.0 | $86.7 | -6.8% |
| 2024 | $86.7 | $98.7 | +14% |
| 2025 | $98.7 | $126.9 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $126.9 | $150.0 | +18% |
BFC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.