BFC
Bank First Corporation
BFC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS has the edge over BFC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
BFC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BFC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFC.
GS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.
BFC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $95.95 | -36% |
| Forward | 13x | $150 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $119 | -21% |
| Expensive | 18x | $146 | -3% |
| Current | 19x | $150 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BFC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
GS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.6x | $528 | -42% |
| Current | 13x | $914 | — |
| Forward | 13x | $914 | — |
| Fair | 14x | $940 | +2.9% |
| Expensive | 17x | $1,214 | +33% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
BFC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BFC, but weaker profitability.
GS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BFC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.60 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $8.01 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.69 | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.19 | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.23 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.11 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.93 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.81 | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.50 | -11% |
BFC earned $8.01 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
GS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $72.35 | +4% |
| Q3 2026 | $69.58 | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $64.82 | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.75 | +27% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.32 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.22 | +44% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.37 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.08 | +68% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.54 | +77% |
GS has the edge over BFC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BFC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65.3M | +48% |
| Q2 2026 | $65M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $63.7M | +48% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.9M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.2M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $41.6M | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $43.1M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $40.1M | -47% |
BFC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $65M last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 46% | -5.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 51% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 51% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 50% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 51% | +5.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 54% | -6.7 points |
BFC has the edge over GS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
GS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.7B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.3B | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.5B | -3% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.2B | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.1B | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.9B | +23% |
GS has the edge over BFC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 37% | +2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | +8.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 38% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 44% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 36% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 34% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 38% | +18 points |
GS's operating margin was 37% last quarter, up 2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BFC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26M | +109% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.7M | +151% |
| Q1 2026 | -$16.9M | -521% |
| Q4 2025 | $26.3M | -4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.5M | -26% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.2M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $4M | +628% |
| Q4 2024 | $27.4M | +51% |
BFC has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
GS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.6B | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | -$32.4B | +$5.3B |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.8B | -136% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +$40.6B |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2B | -6.8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37.7B | -$9.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $46.2B | +$75.1B |
GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
BFC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -62.8K shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +1.2M shares |
| 3 years | +6.8% | +700K shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +3.4M shares |
| Available history | +60% | +4.2M shares |
BFC has 11M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $24M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $412,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $20.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $15.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.4M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
BFC spent $24M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8.2% from the year before.
GS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.4% | -13.9M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -42.8M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -52.8M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -74.4M shares |
GS has the edge over BFC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B |
| Q2 2026 | $4B |
| Q1 2026 | $5B |
| Q4 2025 | $3B |
| Q3 2025 | $2B |
| Q2 2025 | $3B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B |
GS spent $15B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
BFC Net Leverage
GS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -5.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -6.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.
BFC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.5 | Neutral |
BFC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
GS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.3 | Oversold |
GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
BFC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | BFC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 13x | 44% above |
| PE % | 89 | 63 | 26 pts above |
BFC is trading at 19x earnings, a 44% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
GS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | GS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.8% above |
| PE % | 46 | 63 | 17 pts below |
GS has the edge over BFC on valuation relative to its sector.
BFC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $149.0 | 0.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $151.1 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $143.2 | 4.8% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.5 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $106.1 | 41% above |
BFC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
GS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $895.5 | 2% above |
| 20 week MA | $977.4 | 6.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $945.4 | 3.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $804.5 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $602.7 | 52% above |
GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.
BFC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $69.3 | $68.1 | -1.7% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $70.5 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $70.5 | $93.0 | +32% |
| 2023 | $93.0 | $86.7 | -6.8% |
| 2024 | $86.7 | $98.7 | +14% |
| 2025 | $98.7 | $126.9 | +29% |
| 2026 YTD | $126.9 | $150.0 | +18% |
BFC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $230.7 | $256.2 | +11% |
| 2021 | $256.2 | $385.0 | +50% |
| 2022 | $385.0 | $345.5 | -10% |
| 2023 | $345.5 | $385.8 | +12% |
| 2024 | $385.8 | $576.2 | +49% |
| 2025 | $576.2 | $907.0 | +57% |
| 2026 YTD | $907.0 | $913.6 | +0.7% |
GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.