BFC

Bank First Corporation

54
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

BFC has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

BFC's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BFC.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

BFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$95.95-36%
Forward13x$150—
Fair15x$119-21%
Expensive18x$146-3%
Current19x$150—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BFC has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

BFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BFC, but weaker profitability.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

BFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$193.06
Downside-11%$133.84

Calculated from the latest close: $150.04 on Nov 12.

BFC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails BFC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.28Q1 2024: $7.70Q2 2024: $7.92Q3 2024: $8.14Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.81Q2 2025: $6.93Q3 2025: $7.11Q4 2025: $7.23Q1 2026: $7.19Q2 2026: $7.69Q3 2026: $8.01Forward: $11.60
Q4 2023: $7.28Q1 2024: $7.70Q2 2024: $7.92Q3 2024: $8.14Q4 2024: $6.50Q1 2025: $6.81Q2 2025: $6.93Q3 2025: $7.11Q4 2025: $7.23Q1 2026: $7.19Q2 2026: $7.69Q3 2026: $8.01Forward: $11.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$11.60+45%
Q3 2026$8.01+13%
Q2 2026$7.69+11%
Q1 2026$7.19+5.6%
Q4 2025$7.23+11%
Q3 2025$7.11-13%
Q2 2025$6.93-13%
Q1 2025$6.81-12%
Q4 2024$6.50-11%

BFC earned $8.01 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK has the edge over BFC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $75MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $40MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$65.3M+48%
Q2 2026$65M+56%
Q1 2026$63.7M+48%
Q4 2025$44.9M+12%
Q3 2025$44.2M+8.4%
Q2 2025$41.6M+7%
Q1 2025$43.1M+14%
Q4 2024$40.1M-47%

BFC's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $65M last quarter, up 48% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over BFC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $551,000Q2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $551,000Q2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26M+109%
Q2 2026$20.7M+151%
Q1 2026-$16.9M-521%
Q4 2025$26.3M-4%
Q3 2025$12.5M-26%
Q2 2025$8.2M-40%
Q1 2025$4M+628%
Q4 2024$27.4M+51%

BFC's free cash flow was $56M over the past year, up 7.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BFC.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over BFC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
Q4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ3 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 11MQ3 2026: 11M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-62.8K shares
1 year+13%+1.2M shares
3 years+6.8%+700K shares
5 years+45%+3.4M shares
Available history+60%+4.2M shares

BFC has 11M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $24M in buybacks over the past year.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has the edge over BFC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BFC Net Leverage

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BLK.

BFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.3Neutral
Stochastic68.5Neutral

BFC's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

BFC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBFCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x44% above
PE %896326 pts above

BFC has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.00.7% above
20 week MA$151.10.7% below
50 week MA$143.24.8% above
100 week MA$128.517% above
200 week MA$106.141% above

BFC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 41% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over BFC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.3$68.1-1.7%
2021$68.1$70.5+3.5%
2022$70.5$93.0+32%
2023$93.0$86.7-6.8%
2024$86.7$98.7+14%
2025$98.7$126.9+29%
2026 YTD$126.9$150.0+18%

BFC has the edge over BLK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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