BFAM

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

47
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BFAM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over BFAM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

BFAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

BFAM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BFAM PE Valuation

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BFAM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BFAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$73.22
Downside-28%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

BFAM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails BFAM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47—
Q3 2026-$2.97-185%
Q2 2026$3.16+3.6%
Q1 2026$3.32+20%
Q4 2025$3.36+40%
Q3 2025$3.48+74%
Q2 2025$3.05+74%
Q1 2025$2.77+94%
Q4 2024$2.40+88%

BFAM has swung to a loss: it lost $2.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over BFAM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$841.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$779.2M+6.5%
Q1 2026$712.2M+7%
Q4 2025$733.7M+8.8%
Q3 2025$802.8M+12%
Q2 2025$731.6M+9.2%
Q1 2025$665.5M+6.9%
Q4 2024$674.1M+9.5%

BFAM has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$25.1M+$17.4M
Q2 2026$76.1M-34%
Q1 2026$87.6M+23%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$10.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+33%
Q1 2025$70.9M-27%
Q4 2024$88.6M+37%

BFAM has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

BFAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-16%-9M shares
3 years-17%-9.6M shares
5 years-20%-11.9M shares
Available history-18%-10.5M shares

BFAM has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BFAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BFAM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over BFAM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BFAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic7.9Oversold

BFAM's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBFAMSector medianRelative
PE23x18x25% above
PE %64741 pts below

BFAM has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.916% below
20 week MA$68.623% below
50 week MA$76.331% below
100 week MA$96.645% below
200 week MA$98.947% below

BFAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over BFAM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BFAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$165.3+9.6%
2021$165.3$123.2-25%
2022$123.2$59.9-51%
2023$59.9$94.2+57%
2024$94.2$110.5+17%
2025$110.5$101.3-8.3%
2026 YTD$101.3$52.8-48%

BFAM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over BFAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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