BFAM

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

47
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BFAM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over BFAM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BFAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

BFAM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BFAM PE Valuation

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BFAM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over BFAM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BFAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$73.22
Downside-28%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

BFAM trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BFAM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47—
Q3 2026-$2.97-185%
Q2 2026$3.16+3.6%
Q1 2026$3.32+20%
Q4 2025$3.36+40%
Q3 2025$3.48+74%
Q2 2025$3.05+74%
Q1 2025$2.77+94%
Q4 2024$2.40+88%

BFAM has swung to a loss: it lost $2.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN has the edge over BFAM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$841.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$779.2M+6.5%
Q1 2026$712.2M+7%
Q4 2025$733.7M+8.8%
Q3 2025$802.8M+12%
Q2 2025$731.6M+9.2%
Q1 2025$665.5M+6.9%
Q4 2024$674.1M+9.5%

BFAM's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $841M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$25.1M+$17.4M
Q2 2026$76.1M-34%
Q1 2026$87.6M+23%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$10.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+33%
Q1 2025$70.9M-27%
Q4 2024$88.6M+37%

BFAM has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

BFAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-16%-9M shares
3 years-17%-9.6M shares
5 years-20%-11.9M shares
Available history-18%-10.5M shares

BFAM has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

BFAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BFAM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BFAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic7.9Oversold

BFAM's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBFAMSector medianRelative
PE23x18x25% above
PE %64741 pts below

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.916% below
20 week MA$68.623% below
50 week MA$76.331% below
100 week MA$96.645% below
200 week MA$98.947% below

BFAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

BFAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$165.3+9.6%
2021$165.3$123.2-25%
2022$123.2$59.9-51%
2023$59.9$94.2+57%
2024$94.2$110.5+17%
2025$110.5$101.3-8.3%
2026 YTD$101.3$52.8-48%

BFAM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over BFAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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