BFAM

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

47
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BFAM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over BFAM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

BFAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

BFAM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BFAM PE Valuation

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

BFAM has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BFAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$73.22
Downside-28%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

BFAM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails BFAM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47—
Q3 2026-$2.97-185%
Q2 2026$3.16+3.6%
Q1 2026$3.32+20%
Q4 2025$3.36+40%
Q3 2025$3.48+74%
Q2 2025$3.05+74%
Q1 2025$2.77+94%
Q4 2024$2.40+88%

BFAM has swung to a loss: it lost $2.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE has the edge over BFAM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$841.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$779.2M+6.5%
Q1 2026$712.2M+7%
Q4 2025$733.7M+8.8%
Q3 2025$802.8M+12%
Q2 2025$731.6M+9.2%
Q1 2025$665.5M+6.9%
Q4 2024$674.1M+9.5%

BFAM has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$25.1M+$17.4M
Q2 2026$76.1M-34%
Q1 2026$87.6M+23%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$10.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+33%
Q1 2025$70.9M-27%
Q4 2024$88.6M+37%

BFAM has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

BFAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-16%-9M shares
3 years-17%-9.6M shares
5 years-20%-11.9M shares
Available history-18%-10.5M shares

BFAM has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BFAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BFAM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over BFAM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BFAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic7.9Oversold

BFAM's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBFAMSector medianRelative
PE23x18x25% above
PE %64741 pts below

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over BFAM on valuation relative to its sector.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.916% below
20 week MA$68.623% below
50 week MA$76.331% below
100 week MA$96.645% below
200 week MA$98.947% below

BFAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over BFAM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BFAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$165.3+9.6%
2021$165.3$123.2-25%
2022$123.2$59.9-51%
2023$59.9$94.2+57%
2024$94.2$110.5+17%
2025$110.5$101.3-8.3%
2026 YTD$101.3$52.8-48%

BFAM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over BFAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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