BFAM

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

47
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BFAM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over BFAM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BFAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

BFAM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BFAM PE Valuation

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BFAM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BFAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$73.22
Downside-28%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

BFAM trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BFAM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47—
Q3 2026-$2.97-185%
Q2 2026$3.16+3.6%
Q1 2026$3.32+20%
Q4 2025$3.36+40%
Q3 2025$3.48+74%
Q2 2025$3.05+74%
Q1 2025$2.77+94%
Q4 2024$2.40+88%

BFAM has the edge over LCID on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$841.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$779.2M+6.5%
Q1 2026$712.2M+7%
Q4 2025$733.7M+8.8%
Q3 2025$802.8M+12%
Q2 2025$731.6M+9.2%
Q1 2025$665.5M+6.9%
Q4 2024$674.1M+9.5%

BFAM's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $841M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over BFAM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$25.1M+$17.4M
Q2 2026$76.1M-34%
Q1 2026$87.6M+23%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$10.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+33%
Q1 2025$70.9M-27%
Q4 2024$88.6M+37%

BFAM has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

BFAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-16%-9M shares
3 years-17%-9.6M shares
5 years-20%-11.9M shares
Available history-18%-10.5M shares

BFAM has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

BFAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BFAM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BFAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic7.9Oversold

BFAM's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBFAMSector medianRelative
PE23x18x25% above
PE %64741 pts below

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.916% below
20 week MA$68.623% below
50 week MA$76.331% below
100 week MA$96.645% below
200 week MA$98.947% below

BFAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

BFAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$165.3+9.6%
2021$165.3$123.2-25%
2022$123.2$59.9-51%
2023$59.9$94.2+57%
2024$94.2$110.5+17%
2025$110.5$101.3-8.3%
2026 YTD$101.3$52.8-48%

BFAM has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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