BFAM

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.

47
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BFAM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over BFAM overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

BFAM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Weak

BFAM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BFAM PE Valuation

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BFAM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BFAM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$73.22
Downside-28%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

BFAM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BFAM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BFAM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
Q4 2023: $1.28Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $2.00Q4 2024: $2.40Q1 2025: $2.77Q2 2025: $3.05Q3 2025: $3.48Q4 2025: $3.36Q1 2026: $3.32Q2 2026: $3.16Q3 2026: $-2.97Forward: $5.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.47—
Q3 2026-$2.97-185%
Q2 2026$3.16+3.6%
Q1 2026$3.32+20%
Q4 2025$3.36+40%
Q3 2025$3.48+74%
Q2 2025$3.05+74%
Q1 2025$2.77+94%
Q4 2024$2.40+88%

BFAM has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BFAM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
Q4 2023: $616MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $670MQ3 2024: $719MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $666MQ2 2025: $732MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $734MQ1 2026: $712MQ2 2026: $779MQ3 2026: $841M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$841.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$779.2M+6.5%
Q1 2026$712.2M+7%
Q4 2025$733.7M+8.8%
Q3 2025$802.8M+12%
Q2 2025$731.6M+9.2%
Q1 2025$665.5M+6.9%
Q4 2024$674.1M+9.5%

BFAM has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BFAM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: $88MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: −$25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$25.1M+$17.4M
Q2 2026$76.1M-34%
Q1 2026$87.6M+23%
Q4 2025$114.7M+29%
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$10.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+33%
Q1 2025$70.9M-27%
Q4 2024$88.6M+37%

BFAM usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$25M, but it generated $253M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

BFAM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 57MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-6.4%-3.3M shares
1 year-16%-9M shares
3 years-17%-9.6M shares
5 years-20%-11.9M shares
Available history-18%-10.5M shares

BFAM has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BFAM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
Q4 2023: 3.2xQ1 2024: 3.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.5xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 9.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20269.5xHigh
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.5xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BFAM's net debt is about 9.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BFAM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BFAM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic7.9Oversold

BFAM's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BFAM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBFAMSector medianRelative
PE23x18x25% above
PE %64741 pts below

BFAM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BFAM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.916% below
20 week MA$68.623% below
50 week MA$76.331% below
100 week MA$96.645% below
200 week MA$98.947% below

BFAM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BFAM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$150.9$165.3+9.6%
2021$165.3$123.2-25%
2022$123.2$59.9-51%
2023$59.9$94.2+57%
2024$94.2$110.5+17%
2025$110.5$101.3-8.3%
2026 YTD$101.3$52.8-48%

BFAM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BFAM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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