BDTX

Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score BDTX yet.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

BDTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Strong

BDTX's balance sheet is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BDTX PE Valuation

BDTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BDTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
--
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BDTX's losses to grow, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

BDTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.52 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BDTX and LLY's risk to reward.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare BDTX and LLY's risk to reward.

BDTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.88Q1 2024: $-1.66Q2 2024: $-1.50Q3 2024: $-1.33Q4 2024: $-1.27Q1 2025: $0.06Q2 2025: $0.23Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $-0.75Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.75
Q4 2023: $-1.88Q1 2024: $-1.66Q2 2024: $-1.50Q3 2024: $-1.33Q4 2024: $-1.27Q1 2025: $0.06Q2 2025: $0.23Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $-0.75Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.75-308%
Q2 2026-$0.73-417%
Q1 2026-$0.75-1350%
Q4 2025$0.39+$1.66
Q3 2025$0.36+$1.69
Q2 2025$0.23+$1.73
Q1 2025$0.06+$1.72
Q4 2024-$1.27+$0.61

BDTX has swung to a loss: it lost $0.75 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.83+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over BDTX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BDTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0

BDTX's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $0 last quarter.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

BDTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$14MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$8M
Q4 2023: −$14MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$8.3M-$488K
Q2 2026-$8M+$1.2M
Q1 2026-$10.2M-119%
Q4 2025-$6.8M+$8.3M
Q2 2025-$9.2M+$5.6M
Q1 2025$53.4M+$74.6M
Q4 2024-$15.1M-$1.1M
Q2 2024-$14.7M-$358K

BDTX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$33M over the past year, against $21M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over BDTX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BDTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
Q4 2023: 44MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 57MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 57MQ3 2025: 57MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 57MQ2 2026: 57MQ3 2026: 57M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+87.9K shares
1 year+0.9%+526K shares
3 years+13%+6.5M shares
5 years+59%+21.2M shares
Available history+142%+33.8M shares

BDTX has 57M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over BDTX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BDTX Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -5.9xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -1.6x
Q2 2025: -5.9xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.9xNet Cash

BDTX has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

BDTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

BDTX's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

BDTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricBDTXSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

BDTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

BDTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.7815% below
20 week MA$1.8920% below
50 week MA$2.2031% below
100 week MA$2.4037% below
200 week MA$2.9949% below

BDTX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over BDTX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BDTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.5$33.7-10%
2021$33.7$5.59-83%
2022$5.59$1.29-77%
2023$1.29$2.81+118%
2024$2.81$2.19-22%
2025$2.19$2.59+18%
2026 YTD$2.59$1.52-41%

BDTX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2023 to −83% in 2021. It's down 41% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over BDTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key