BDC

Belden Inc.

52
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

BDC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over BDC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BDC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$102—
Cheap15x$65.72-36%
Fair21x$94.82-7.2%
Current23x$102—
Expensive28x$123+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BDC's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over BDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BDC, but weaker profitability.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over BDC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$124.73
Downside-24%$78.12

Calculated from the latest close: $102.21 on Nov 12.

BDC trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BDC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.58
Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.58+115%
Q3 2026$4.45-21%
Q2 2026$6.15+12%
Q1 2026$5.94+15%
Q4 2025$5.91+23%
Q3 2025$5.62+31%
Q2 2025$5.51+17%
Q1 2025$5.17+1.2%
Q4 2024$4.80-15%

BDC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.45 over the past year, against $6.67 in mid-2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over BDC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$966M+38%
Q2 2026$750.2M+12%
Q1 2026$696.4M+11%
Q4 2025$720.1M+8.1%
Q3 2025$698.2M+6.6%
Q2 2025$672M+11%
Q1 2025$624.9M+17%
Q4 2024$666M+21%

BDC's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $966M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over BDC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$81.8M+25%
Q2 2026$88.6M+56%
Q1 2026-$63.1M-$38.3M
Q4 2025$121.3M+4.2%
Q3 2025$65.3M-2.7%
Q2 2025$56.9M-6.7%
Q1 2025-$24.8M-$3.2M
Q4 2024$116.4M+11%

BDC has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

BDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-203K shares
1 year-2.6%-1.1M shares
3 years-8.3%-3.5M shares
5 years-14%-6.3M shares
Available history-7.9%-3.3M shares

BDC has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BDC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

BDC's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over BDC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

BDC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBDCSector medianRelative
PE23x28x18% below
PE %613526 pts above

BDC has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

BDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$105.93.4% below
20 week MA$113.09.5% below
50 week MA$117.613% below
100 week MA$115.812% below
200 week MA$103.41.1% below

BDC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.1% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over BDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.5$41.6-25%
2021$41.6$63.7+53%
2022$63.7$73.2+15%
2023$73.2$77.3+5.5%
2024$77.3$113.5+47%
2025$113.5$118.4+4.3%
2026 YTD$118.4$102.2-14%

BDC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over BDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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