BDC

Belden Inc.

52
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

BDC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over BDC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Weak

BDC's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

BDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$102—
Cheap15x$65.72-36%
Fair21x$94.82-7.2%
Current23x$102—
Expensive28x$123+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BDC's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for BDC, but weaker profitability.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over BDC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

BDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$124.73
Downside-24%$78.12

Calculated from the latest close: $102.21 on Nov 12.

BDC trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BDC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.62
Q4 2023: $5.66Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $4.70Q3 2024: $4.30Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $5.17Q2 2025: $5.51Q3 2025: $5.62Q4 2025: $5.91Q1 2026: $5.94Q2 2026: $6.15Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $9.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.62+116%
Q3 2026$4.45-21%
Q2 2026$6.15+12%
Q1 2026$5.94+15%
Q4 2025$5.91+23%
Q3 2025$5.62+31%
Q2 2025$5.51+17%
Q1 2025$5.17+1.2%
Q4 2024$4.80-15%

BDC has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
Q4 2023: $551MQ1 2024: $536MQ2 2024: $604MQ3 2024: $655MQ4 2024: $666MQ1 2025: $625MQ2 2025: $672MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $720MQ1 2026: $696MQ2 2026: $750MQ3 2026: $966M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$966M+38%
Q2 2026$750.2M+12%
Q1 2026$696.4M+11%
Q4 2025$720.1M+8.1%
Q3 2025$698.2M+6.6%
Q2 2025$672M+11%
Q1 2025$624.9M+17%
Q4 2024$666M+21%

BDC has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

BDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
Q4 2023: $105MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $67MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: −$63MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $82M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$81.8M+25%
Q2 2026$88.6M+56%
Q1 2026-$63.1M-$38.3M
Q4 2025$121.3M+4.2%
Q3 2025$65.3M-2.7%
Q2 2025$56.9M-6.7%
Q1 2025-$24.8M-$3.2M
Q4 2024$116.4M+11%

BDC generated $229M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.9% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over BDC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-203K shares
1 year-2.6%-1.1M shares
3 years-8.3%-3.5M shares
5 years-14%-6.3M shares
Available history-7.9%-3.3M shares

BDC has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

BDC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.8xHigh
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.0xHealthy

BDC's net debt is about 5.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over BDC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic15.0Oversold

BDC's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricBDCSector medianRelative
PE23x28x18% below
PE %613526 pts above

BDC is trading at 23x earnings, a 18% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$105.93.4% below
20 week MA$113.09.5% below
50 week MA$117.613% below
100 week MA$115.812% below
200 week MA$103.41.1% below

BDC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.1% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over BDC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$55.5$41.6-25%
2021$41.6$63.7+53%
2022$63.7$73.2+15%
2023$73.2$77.3+5.5%
2024$77.3$113.5+47%
2025$113.5$118.4+4.3%
2026 YTD$118.4$102.2-14%

BDC has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over BDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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