BCYC

Bicycle Therapeutics plc

47
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

BCYC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over BCYC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BCYC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

BCYC's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BCYC PE Valuation

BCYC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BCYC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BCYC's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

BCYC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$4.88
Downside-30%$2.43

Calculated from the latest close: $3.45 on Nov 12.

BCYC trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BCYC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BCYC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.08Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $-3.76Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2024: $-2.90Q1 2025: $-3.16Q2 2025: $-3.53Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.16Q1 2026: $-3.15Q2 2026: $-2.73Q3 2026: $-2.03
Q4 2023: $-5.08Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $-3.76Q3 2024: $-3.24Q4 2024: $-2.90Q1 2025: $-3.16Q2 2025: $-3.53Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-3.16Q1 2026: $-3.15Q2 2026: $-2.73Q3 2026: $-2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.03+$1.61
Q2 2026-$2.73+$0.80
Q1 2026-$3.15+$0.01
Q4 2025-$3.16-$0.26
Q3 2025-$3.64-$0.40
Q2 2025-$3.53+$0.23
Q1 2025-$3.16+$1.24
Q4 2024-$2.90+$2.18

BCYC is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.03 per share over the past year, against $5.08 at its worst in late 2023.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over BCYC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BCYC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $887,000Q2 2026: $629,000Q3 2026: $34M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $887,000Q2 2026: $629,000Q3 2026: $34M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$34.1M+190%
Q2 2026$629K-78%
Q1 2026$887K-91%
Q4 2025$48M+1193%
Q3 2025$11.7M+338%
Q2 2025$2.9M-69%
Q1 2025$10M-49%
Q4 2024$3.7M-30%

BCYC's revenue is growing: $34M last quarter, up 190% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over BCYC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BCYC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$71MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$40MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$87MQ2 2025: −$73MQ3 2025: −$72MQ4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$67MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$41M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$71MQ2 2024: −$45MQ3 2024: −$40MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$87MQ2 2025: −$73MQ3 2025: −$72MQ4 2025: −$20MQ1 2026: −$67MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40.6M+$31.2M
Q2 2026-$49.9M+$23.4M
Q1 2026-$66.6M+$20.3M
Q4 2025-$19.9M-$10.2M
Q3 2025-$71.8M-$31.6M
Q2 2025-$73.3M-$28.2M
Q1 2025-$87M-$16.1M
Q4 2024-$9.8M+$37.6M

BCYC has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$177M over the past year, against −$242M the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over BCYC on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BCYC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 52MQ3 2024: 69MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 69MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+175K shares
1 year+1%+676K shares
3 years+77%+30.4M shares
5 years+179%+44.9M shares
Available history+290%+52.1M shares

BCYC has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

BCYC Net Leverage

BCYC's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

BCYC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.2Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

BCYC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

BCYC PE vs Healthcare Sector

BCYC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

BCYC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.593.9% below
20 week MA$3.8911% below
50 week MA$4.7928% below
100 week MA$6.9250% below
200 week MA$14.476% below

BCYC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 76% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over BCYC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BCYC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.07$19.9+119%
2021$19.9$60.3+203%
2022$60.3$30.0-50%
2023$30.0$18.1-40%
2024$18.1$14.6-20%
2025$14.6$6.82-53%
2026 YTD$6.82$3.45-49%

BCYC has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 49% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over BCYC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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