BCRX

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

61
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

BCRX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over BCRX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

BCRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Strong
Strong

BCRX's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BCRX PE Valuation

BCRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

BCRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BCRX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

BCRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$10.76
Downside-28%$5.52

Calculated from the latest close: $7.68 on Nov 12.

BCRX trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BCRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BCRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.73Q3 2024: $-0.61Q4 2024: $-0.43Q1 2025: $-0.26Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $1.21Q1 2026: $-1.77Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $0.66
Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.73Q3 2024: $-0.61Q4 2024: $-0.43Q1 2025: $-0.26Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $1.21Q1 2026: $-1.77Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $0.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.66—
Q3 2026-$1.41-$1.36
Q2 2026-$1.49-$1.31
Q1 2026-$1.77-$1.51
Q4 2025$1.21+$1.64
Q3 2025-$0.05+$0.56
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.55
Q1 2025-$0.26+$0.81
Q4 2024-$0.43+$0.75

BCRX lost $1.41 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over BCRX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BCRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $159MQ4 2025: $407MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $180M
Q4 2023: $93MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $159MQ4 2025: $407MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $218MQ3 2026: $180M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$180.3M+13%
Q2 2026$218.3M+34%
Q1 2026$156.4M+7.5%
Q4 2025$406.6M+209%
Q3 2025$159.4M+36%
Q2 2025$163.4M+49%
Q1 2025$145.5M+57%
Q4 2024$131.5M+41%

BCRX's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $180M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over BCRX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BCRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$54MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: −$62MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: −$54MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $291MQ1 2026: −$62MQ2 2026: $104MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.8M-19%
Q2 2026$104.1M+153%
Q1 2026-$62.2M-$34.5M
Q4 2025$291.2M+$297M
Q3 2025$40.3M+392%
Q2 2025$41.1M+$42.6M
Q1 2025-$27.7M+$26.3M
Q4 2024-$5.9M+$3.6M

BCRX has burned cash in most quarters: $366M over the past year, about eight times what it generated the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

BCRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 192MQ1 2024: 206MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 207MQ4 2024: 207MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 220MQ3 2025: 220MQ4 2025: 219MQ1 2026: 242MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 268M
Q4 2023: 192MQ1 2024: 206MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 207MQ4 2024: 207MQ1 2025: 215MQ2 2025: 220MQ3 2025: 220MQ4 2025: 219MQ1 2026: 242MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.9%+2.5M shares
1 year+22%+47.7M shares
3 years+41%+78M shares
5 years+51%+90.3M shares
Available history+74%+113M shares

BCRX has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

BCRX Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 6.1xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3x
Q1 2025: 6.1xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20256.1xHigh

BCRX has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

BCRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic16.2Oversold

BCRX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

BCRX PE vs Healthcare Sector

BCRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

BCRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.074.8% below
20 week MA$8.8914% below
50 week MA$8.509.6% below
100 week MA$8.388.4% below
200 week MA$7.710.4% below

BCRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.4% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over BCRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BCRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.12$7.28+133%
2021$7.28$13.9+91%
2022$13.9$11.5-18%
2023$11.5$5.99-48%
2024$5.99$7.71+29%
2025$7.71$7.63-1%
2026 YTD$7.63$7.68+0.7%

BCRX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +133% in 2020 to −48% in 2023. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over BCRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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