BCO

The Brink's Company

58
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BCO's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 7.3%, but free cash flow fell 12%. At 31x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Stable

BCO's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

BCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x143x215x286x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$117—
Cheap22x$84.90-27%
Fair31x$117+0.3%
Current31x$117—
Expensive91x$346+196%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BCO's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$135.21
Downside-20%$93.42

Calculated from the latest close: $116.97 on Nov 12.

BCO's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −20% against +16%.

BCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.87Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $3.63Q1 2025: $3.72Q2 2025: $3.73Q3 2025: $3.94Q4 2025: $4.69Q1 2026: $4.28Q2 2026: $4.32Q3 2026: $3.81Forward: $9.35
Q4 2023: $1.87Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $3.63Q1 2025: $3.72Q2 2025: $3.73Q3 2025: $3.94Q4 2025: $4.69Q1 2026: $4.28Q2 2026: $4.32Q3 2026: $3.81Forward: $9.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.35+145%
Q3 2026$3.81-3.3%
Q2 2026$4.32+16%
Q1 2026$4.28+15%
Q4 2025$4.69+29%
Q3 2025$3.94+48%
Q2 2025$3.73+25%
Q1 2025$3.72+41%
Q4 2024$3.63+94%

BCO earned $3.81 per share over the past year, down 3.3% from the year before.

BCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+7.1%
Q1 2026$1.4B+10%
Q4 2025$1.4B+9.1%
Q3 2025$1.3B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.3B+3.8%
Q1 2025$1.2B+0.9%
Q4 2024$1.3B+1.5%

BCO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.4B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$123MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: −$119MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $52M
Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$123MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $307MQ1 2025: −$119MQ2 2025: $152MQ3 2025: $77MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $52M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$52.4M-32%
Q2 2026$1.7M-99%
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$107.7M
Q4 2025$325.9M+6.1%
Q3 2025$77.4M+946%
Q2 2025$152.2M+$275M
Q1 2025-$119.1M-1118%
Q4 2024$307.2M-9.6%

BCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $369M over the past year.

BCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 43MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.4%-600K shares
3 years-12%-5.6M shares
5 years-17%-8.8M shares
Available history-19%-9.6M shares

BCO has 42M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago, with $86M in buybacks over the past year.

BCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.4xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: 3.4xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.9xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20262.9xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.4xElevated
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

BCO's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.4 years a year ago.

BCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.0Neutral
Stochastic53.4Neutral

BCO's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

BCO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBCOSector medianRelative
PE31x24x28% above
PE %49589 pts below

BCO is trading at 31x earnings, a 28% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$107.39.1% above
20 week MA$110.06.3% above
50 week MA$111.74.7% above
100 week MA$104.412% above
200 week MA$94.024% above

BCO is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.

BCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.1$70.8-22%
2021$70.8$64.7-8.6%
2022$64.7$54.1-16%
2023$54.1$88.0+63%
2024$88.0$91.7+4.3%
2025$91.7$119.6+30%
2026 YTD$119.6$117.0-2.2%

BCO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 2.2% so far in 2026.

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